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#3,017,11186

0x1fcc97d92bccec98ab57be7f286c94425d77701b

~122d· 2388 markets · 10378 tradesVol: $235,9702026-08-04 19:59:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (1112/2346)8.7/20
2.13x (win $45,675 / loss $21,457)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.34415/15
Sortino 9.06810/10
$+0.5323 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 76 (2346 markets)10/10
70/118 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 19% of peak ($4,826 / $24,934)10/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
Cool Head
Max DD 19%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
₿ CRYPTO#1,537,962$-207Vol: $59,554
🌤️ WEATHER#299,016$-3,637Vol: $53,266
🏛️ POLITICS#18,259$974Vol: $43,537
💰 FINANCE#6,982$495Vol: $36,030
🎭 CULTURE#807,577$-624Vol: $27,922
📢 MENTIONS#1,889$611Vol: $5,219
📈 ECONOMICS#28,004$22Vol: $4,658
💻 TECH#254,099$-259Vol: $4,316
⚽ SPORTS#304,145$7Vol: $131

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,681
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$235,970
Total Redeem
$2,231
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2388
total markets
Trades
5175B / 5203S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~122d

Periods

#2
Today
$32
Vol: $623
Week
$210
Vol: $2,221
Month
$175
Vol: $4,075
All Time
$-2,681
Vol: $235,970

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
1112W / 1234L events
Realized PnL
$-2,681
Win Rate
47%
1112W / 1234L
Profit Factor
2.13x
Avg Win
$41
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,968 (7.8217822890204465% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$10,050
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$9,920
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$998
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$992
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$987
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$908
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$748
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$448
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 2?$361
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 22?$360

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on November 21?$-4,600
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-771
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 2?$-349
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-268
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$-245
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 7?$-235
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$-229
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$-221
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?$-220
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 7?$-209

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.122
Sortino
0.309
HHI
150
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.496
Kelly %
23.7%
Half-Kelly
11.9%
Top-1 market
10.2%
Top-5 markets
18.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
40.1
Active
Markets / Day
9.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
32.7m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 592s — normal for humanCV 2.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock40 trades/day — high frequency9.2 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.81
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.2%
Mid (20-55c)49.7%
High (>55c)47.1%

Sessions

#12
5/15/2026, 7:22:39 PM11 trades$3,0113 min
2/28/2026, 6:33:15 AM6 trades$1,18110 min
2/12/2026, 9:46:55 PM1 trades$9580 min
11/21/2025, 12:06:01 PM5 trades$8355 min
11/21/2025, 11:38:25 AM8 trades$70311 min
11/21/2025, 11:54:41 AM4 trades$6695 min
6/19/2026, 10:53:23 PM29 trades$6367 min
11/21/2025, 11:25:23 AM6 trades$5663 min
7/4/2026, 9:44:11 PM4 trades$5501 min
7/7/2026, 10:05:50 AM26 trades$49715 min
11/21/2025, 1:16:19 PM5 trades$4860 min
6/19/2026, 8:30:43 PM6 trades$4621 min
6/25/2026, 8:13:17 PM11 trades$4535 min
6/19/2026, 12:49:17 PM31 trades$44011 min
7/3/2026, 6:25:11 PM4 trades$4121 min
6/20/2026, 4:17:43 AM12 trades$4034 min
11/20/2025, 6:02:21 PM1 trades$4000 min
11/21/2025, 2:22:49 PM8 trades$3770 min
7/2/2026, 7:02:49 AM6 trades$3531 min
6/14/2026, 9:08:37 PM40 trades$35125 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-19
04-24
05-13
06-04
06-23
07-12
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 108 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
12% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.81/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.2 / M49.7 / H47.1