.yumeko

@.yumeko

#4,93136

0x0b13ffcfaa14fdf81196a961e1c5750b697a5957

~206d· 356 markets · 4957 tradesVol: $2,184,8122026-08-05 17:29:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (150/328)7.9/20
1.11x (win $191,006 / loss $172,840)3.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1923.6/15
Sortino 0.5045/10
$+0.0401 per $1 invested2/10
HHI 428 (328 markets)10/10
61/142 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 85% of peak ($105,845 / $124,011)0/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+34,621
Lottery Player
55% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 17.2 entries/market
Whale
$452,910 invested
High Roller
$1,879/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
79% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,486$32,311Vol: $1,236,671
📈 ECONOMICS#2,489$1,403Vol: $544,657
SPORTS#1,852,974$-1,904Vol: $110,953
🎭 CULTURE#816,772$-2,780Vol: $97,377
CRYPTO#13,206$3,510Vol: $85,603
📢 MENTIONS#1,564$772Vol: $75,641
💰 FINANCE#5,662$648Vol: $25,840
💻 TECH#2,797$354Vol: $3,596
🌤️ WEATHER#3,456$345Vol: $2,015

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$34,630
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,184,812
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
356
total markets
Trades
3356B / 1601S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~206d

Periods

#2
Today
$-533
Vol: $0
Week
$-138
Vol: $69,526
Month
$-410
Vol: $69,526
All Time
$34,630
Vol: $2,184,812

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
150W / 178L events
Realized PnL
$34,621
Win Rate
46%
150W / 178L
Profit Factor
1.11x
Avg Win
$1,273
Avg Loss
$-993

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $143,678 (4.150020608813525% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$131,690
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$7,922
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4,067
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$3,962
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$3,816
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$3,793
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$3,075
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$2,818
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$2,645
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2,184

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-33,314
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-27,134
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-19,695
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-18,459
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-14,362
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-6,096
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?$-4,905
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-4,334
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-3,500
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$-2,117

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.010
Sortino
0.021
HHI
813
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.2%
Top-5 markets
47%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
58.2m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 160s — normal for humanCV 6.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock21 trades/day — high frequency1.5 markets/day — normal79% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.17
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)54.8%
Mid (20-55c)14.9%
High (>55c)30.3%

Sessions

#12
7/29/2026, 11:57:47 AM2 trades$52,7000 min
6/17/2026, 1:30:35 PM1 trades$38,7350 min
6/21/2026, 11:39:07 AM10 trades$31,6250 min
7/27/2026, 4:50:30 PM13 trades$29,8953 min
8/4/2026, 7:03:15 PM2 trades$25,0000 min
7/22/2026, 3:30:31 PM5 trades$22,2300 min
6/22/2026, 7:53:11 AM2 trades$18,0730 min
7/15/2026, 2:39:20 PM3 trades$15,0000 min
2/27/2026, 10:00:01 AM2 trades$14,0973 min
2/28/2026, 2:01:09 PM11 trades$12,6754 min
6/28/2026, 8:25:01 PM1 trades$12,4880 min
7/11/2026, 12:04:49 PM5 trades$11,9183 min
6/28/2026, 10:47:38 AM2 trades$11,5003 min
7/22/2026, 7:35:36 PM2 trades$11,2000 min
6/11/2026, 8:31:12 AM2 trades$10,4700 min
8/4/2026, 4:56:54 PM5 trades$10,0000 min
8/4/2026, 11:07:05 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
6/21/2026, 1:32:31 PM25 trades$8,00826 min
1/10/2026, 8:23:26 PM36 trades$7,71832 min
7/6/2026, 10:47:23 PM4 trades$7,6791 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-07
01-09
02-02
03-06
04-14
06-05
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 43 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.17/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54.8 / M14.9 / H30.3