@Richard.Tysen

#3,057,01538

0x00205869afa0fb65a86593abba6af620bfc316b9

~107d· 1947 markets · 15050 tradesVol: $1,271,887 @MingChen2985042026-08-05 17:26:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

83% (1613/1945)20/20
0.56x (win $22,551 / loss $40,106)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7660/15
Sortino -3.7790/10
$-0.0490 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 390 (1945 markets)10/10
61/100 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 4324% of peak ($18,791 / $435)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 83%
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market
Whale
$358,168 invested
Consistent
61/100 profitable days
High Roller
$2,326/day
Win Streak
33 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#299,392$-4,919Vol: $869,736
🏛️ POLITICS#15,087$1,312Vol: $338,428
SPORTS#59,536$454Vol: $37,882
💰 FINANCE#658,113$-5,073Vol: $13,478
CRYPTO#1,562,596$-289Vol: $11,418
📢 MENTIONS#7,074$77Vol: $945

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8,439
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,271,887
Total Redeem
$154
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1947
total markets
Trades
6374B / 8676S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~107d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $195
Week
$0
Vol: $6,229
Month
$131
Vol: $7,290
All Time
$-8,439
Vol: $1,271,887

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
83%
1613W / 332L events
Realized PnL
$-8,439
Win Rate
83%
1613W / 332L
Profit Factor
0.56x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-162

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,948 (0.23083458945991298% of PnL)

Top Winners

US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?$756
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$702
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$490
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 2?$439
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?$355
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?$339
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 7?$319
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or higher on April 29?$239

Top Losers

ChatGPT Outage by April 3?$-5,429
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-3,115
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?$-2,895
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 16?$-1,575
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or higher on May 1?$-1,291
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?$-1,130
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 10?$-793
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-716
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 10?$-679
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 5?$-653

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.196
Sortino
-0.139
HHI
95
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.046
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.9%
Top-5 markets
13.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
97.7
Very active
Markets / Day
12.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
21.7m
between trades
Night Trading
45%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
37.2

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 80s — normal for humanCV 2.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)45% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock98 trades/day — mass trading13 markets/day — mass coverage41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.84
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.9%
Mid (20-55c)4.9%
High (>55c)83.2%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 1:21:11 AM10 trades$22,8798 min
4/8/2026, 8:42:17 PM3 trades$14,6030 min
4/2/2026, 1:33:05 AM26 trades$12,7215 min
4/8/2026, 7:25:45 AM13 trades$9,6550 min
4/6/2026, 9:43:21 AM25 trades$5,7849 min
4/7/2026, 6:12:21 AM22 trades$5,6734 min
4/1/2026, 1:29:53 AM6 trades$5,6300 min
6/4/2026, 1:42:48 AM27 trades$4,0663 min
4/28/2026, 11:32:18 PM158 trades$3,84943 min
6/19/2026, 9:53:28 PM37 trades$3,7352 min
6/7/2026, 10:31:58 PM30 trades$3,4601 min
4/8/2026, 1:42:29 AM2 trades$3,4340 min
4/26/2026, 5:13:32 AM105 trades$3,40627 min
6/4/2026, 2:04:39 AM47 trades$3,38513 min
4/7/2026, 11:06:57 PM10 trades$3,2897 min
5/2/2026, 3:13:38 AM33 trades$3,2359 min
6/13/2026, 9:10:40 PM41 trades$3,2272 min
6/5/2026, 5:07:21 AM40 trades$3,2005 min
5/15/2026, 6:01:33 AM23 trades$3,1367 min
6/4/2026, 10:40:03 PM46 trades$3,0922 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-02
03-28
04-30
05-16
06-14
06-30
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 78 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
80% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.84/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.9 / M4.9 / H83.2