@Trigram-Qian

#2,632,03924

0x0072330279ce53696e1560e237bad6e646526bb5

~34d· 91 markets · 501 tradesVol: $16,2542026-08-05 15:52:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (53/90)14.4/20
0.67x (win $514 / loss $771)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1490/15
Sortino -3.5690/10
$-0.0696 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1609 (90 markets)4.5/10
14/28 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 1008% of peak ($285 / $28)0/10

Badges

2
DCA Master
Avg 6.9 entries/market
Win Streak
10 wins in a row

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#283,722$-89Vol: $7,023
₿ CRYPTO#170,462$24Vol: $4,651
⚽ SPORTS#1,310,846$-8Vol: $3,313
🏛️ POLITICS#119,272$27Vol: $632
📢 MENTIONS#162,460$-87Vol: $386
💰 FINANCE#103,247$2Vol: $144
🎭 CULTURE#124,120$2Vol: $92

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-135
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,254
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
91
total markets
Trades
215B / 286S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
53W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$-135
Win Rate
59%
53W / 37L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $153 (1.1360296846011133% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$74
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$42
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$38
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$37
Knicks vs. Spurs$36
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$31
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?$24
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$20
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$19

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-218
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-80
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$-70
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?$-40
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?$-39
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$-34
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-34
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 27?$-28

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.162
Sortino
-0.162
HHI
498
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.058
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.5%
Top-5 markets
39.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
43%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 198s — normal for humanCV 1.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)43% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.88
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.1%
Mid (20-55c)7%
High (>55c)80.9%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 5:10:51 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/1/2026, 4:59:44 PM11 trades$6116 min
6/2/2026, 5:34:20 AM2 trades$6000 min
7/7/2026, 11:22:59 PM4 trades$3010 min
6/27/2026, 2:49:55 AM11 trades$2580 min
7/19/2026, 8:59:12 AM2 trades$2490 min
6/27/2026, 6:48:47 AM6 trades$2271 min
6/28/2026, 4:05:43 AM5 trades$2071 min
6/27/2026, 4:18:44 AM12 trades$1881 min
6/7/2026, 7:17:33 AM12 trades$1798 min
7/2/2026, 11:06:26 PM2 trades$1760 min
7/4/2026, 6:04:52 AM4 trades$1711 min
5/11/2026, 2:40:25 AM20 trades$1627 min
7/4/2026, 10:49:28 AM4 trades$1370 min
6/2/2026, 2:09:06 PM14 trades$1355 min
6/5/2026, 2:43:24 PM10 trades$1334 min
6/6/2026, 2:43:04 PM5 trades$1221 min
6/5/2026, 12:02:46 PM9 trades$1185 min
6/10/2026, 7:36:37 AM10 trades$1126 min
6/10/2026, 6:16:10 AM9 trades$1031 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-11
05-15
06-03
06-07
06-11
06-27
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
34% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.1 / M7 / H80.9