@alfredonatale996
#2,796,971370x015609e862e44d648300a2f40f16029d51533644
~87d· 296 markets · 525 tradesVol: $19,5752026-08-04 19:42:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
72% (193/268)20/20
0.55x (win $473 / loss $854)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1440/15
Sortino -2.2730/10
$-0.0400 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 457 (268 markets)10/10
35/59 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 3037% of peak ($551 / $18)0/10
Badges
2Sniper
Win rate 72%
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,578,850$-292Vol: $16,924
📢 MENTIONS#20,150$9Vol: $824
🎭 CULTURE#69,055$10Vol: $822
🌤️ WEATHER#38,625$3Vol: $348
₿ CRYPTO#1,400,020$-54Vol: $309
⚽ SPORTS#1,366,906$-11Vol: $192
💰 FINANCE#108,179$2Vol: $131
📈 ECONOMICS#443,146$-1Vol: $23
💻 TECH#94,038$0Vol: $1
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-334
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,575
Total Redeem
$19
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
296
total markets
Trades
422B / 103S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~87d
Periods
#2Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$9
Vol: $0
All Time
$-334
Vol: $19,575
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
72%
193W / 75L events
Realized PnL
$-334
Win Rate
72%
193W / 75L
Profit Factor
0.55x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-11
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $217 (0.6508721452976083% of PnL)
Top Winners
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? $127
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$57
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$33
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$25
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$16
US strike on Mexico by January 31?$13
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?$12
Will Trump say "N Word" in December?$11
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$10
Will a hurricane form by May 31?$9
Top Losers
Will José Antonio Kast win between 24% and 28% of votes in the first round?$-347
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-187
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$-97
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$-39
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?$-27
Will Egle/Kipp (AUT) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Luge - Women's Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$-10
Will Trump visit China by March 31?$-10
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$-8
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$-7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$-6
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.111
Sortino
-0.080
HHI
341
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.050
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.1%
Top-5 markets
33.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 110s — normal for humanCV 3.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal11% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.73
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.6%
Mid (20-55c)11.8%
High (>55c)84.6%
Sessions
#1211/30/2025, 5:49:12 PM2 trades$1,0631 min
11/17/2025, 12:28:39 AM3 trades$1,0464 min
1/27/2026, 1:25:15 AM2 trades$9831 min
1/12/2026, 1:33:18 PM4 trades$7631 min
12/10/2025, 6:37:30 PM8 trades$5765 min
12/9/2025, 6:38:48 PM7 trades$4966 min
1/19/2026, 12:46:10 AM1 trades$4780 min
1/19/2026, 12:26:02 AM2 trades$4782 min
1/13/2026, 1:37:41 PM1 trades$4160 min
12/2/2025, 1:13:18 PM6 trades$35812 min
7/8/2026, 7:35:11 PM9 trades$3545 min
1/17/2026, 3:49:18 PM2 trades$3352 min
1/1/2026, 3:54:13 PM1 trades$3210 min
2/4/2026, 5:54:55 PM25 trades$25135 min
7/7/2026, 4:09:20 PM4 trades$2082 min
8/18/2025, 12:22:02 AM2 trades$2034 min
12/1/2025, 1:30:46 PM4 trades$2026 min
7/14/2026, 6:25:50 PM2 trades$2000 min
9/1/2025, 2:43:50 PM4 trades$1987 min
10/1/2025, 9:59:19 PM3 trades$1931 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-18
12-02
12-30
01-27
02-13
02-26
03-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 179 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.6 / M11.8 / H84.6