@sakura11

#3,033,87521

0x018a55818e859024628fa8582fefc67a38389522

~71d· 454 markets · 2969 tradesVol: $188,2312026-08-05 16:35:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (152/349)6.8/20
0.70x (win $3,430 / loss $4,881)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9660/15
Sortino -2.4380/10
$-0.0560 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 388 (349 markets)10/10
28/59 profitable days (47%)4.4/10
Max DD 5869% of peak ($1,717 / $29)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,599,811$-600Vol: $68,078
💰 FINANCE#655,793$-1,546Vol: $41,171
🏛️ POLITICS#1,606,674$-662Vol: $31,252
🎭 CULTURE#802,422$-348Vol: $13,863
SPORTS#1,599,988$-53Vol: $11,046
🌤️ WEATHER#283,590$-88Vol: $8,045
📢 MENTIONS#169,738$-218Vol: $5,510
💻 TECH#251,010$-124Vol: $3,787
📈 ECONOMICS#648,998$-51Vol: $2,771

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,720
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$188,231
Total Redeem
$42
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
454
total markets
Trades
2062B / 907S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~71d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-6
Vol: $0
Month
$-4
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3,720
Vol: $188,231

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
152W / 197L events
Realized PnL
$-3,705
Win Rate
44%
152W / 197L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,458 (0.39345173678486317% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 15?$1,015
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 9?$244
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 12?$199
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18?$172
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of July 20 2026?$88
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16?$77
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of July 20 2026?$72
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 23?$68
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?$67
Will Team Yandex Win the Shortest Game at EWC 2026?$53

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 17?$-958
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-789
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 14?$-628
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13?$-340
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 20?$-298
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 6?$-87
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?$-59
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 8?$-56
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$-53
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $140 in July?$-49

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.102
Sortino
-0.100
HHI
236
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.065
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.4%
Top-5 markets
27.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
27.6m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 128s — normal for humanCV 3.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.62
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.9%
Mid (20-55c)25.8%
High (>55c)55.3%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 12:45:46 PM44 trades$2,97330 min
3/12/2026, 3:47:45 PM16 trades$1,28812 min
12/16/2025, 5:26:05 PM11 trades$1,0468 min
12/14/2025, 10:12:43 AM7 trades$6214 min
12/15/2025, 1:38:31 AM3 trades$5810 min
12/15/2025, 1:03:17 AM5 trades$5505 min
7/15/2026, 12:36:38 PM4 trades$5000 min
3/16/2026, 2:34:05 AM1 trades$4780 min
2/24/2026, 2:55:42 PM8 trades$42214 min
12/18/2025, 5:07:49 PM3 trades$4030 min
2/24/2026, 10:47:54 PM8 trades$3996 min
4/3/2026, 11:08:29 AM3 trades$3940 min
2/25/2026, 3:37:40 AM6 trades$3858 min
12/19/2025, 3:13:31 AM1 trades$3820 min
2/24/2026, 3:20:14 PM7 trades$36512 min
2/24/2026, 1:53:44 PM13 trades$3636 min
2/24/2026, 11:52:24 PM7 trades$34211 min
2/27/2026, 3:46:57 PM5 trades$2904 min
12/21/2025, 12:41:55 PM6 trades$2724 min
7/20/2026, 3:06:10 PM51 trades$2571 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-16
11-24
12-21
03-09
03-28
07-14
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 218 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.62/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.9 / M25.8 / H55.3