@topmoon

#65,28873

0x01a5fb1fa13f378138a31382c8364b5d4e2b0e36

~234d· 290 markets · 3213 tradesVol: $488,679 @ethtomorow2026-08-04 20:37:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

78% (223/286)20/20
1.24x (win $25,598 / loss $20,570)5.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.92715/15
Sortino 1.13710/10
$+0.0209 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 134 (286 markets)10/10
105/141 profitable days (74%)10/10
Max DD 62% of peak ($8,213 / $13,241)1.6/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 78%
Profitable
PnL $+1,464
DCA Master
Avg 13.5 entries/market
Whale
$240,167 invested
Consistent
105/141 profitable days
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

8
CRYPTO#65,415$199Vol: $148,854
SPORTS#1,844,662$-1,519Vol: $140,350
🏛️ POLITICS#10,465$2,361Vol: $62,661
🌤️ WEATHER#2,793$449Vol: $56,877
📈 ECONOMICS#657,827$-92Vol: $29,606
💰 FINANCE#644,918$-264Vol: $23,441
🎭 CULTURE#11,203$288Vol: $8,926
💻 TECH#2,788$356Vol: $8,375

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,464
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$488,679
Total Redeem
$430
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
290
total markets
Trades
2312B / 901S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~234d

Periods

#2
Today
$30
Vol: $2,497
Week
$43
Vol: $3,862
Month
$31
Vol: $5,205
All Time
$1,464
Vol: $488,679

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
78%
223W / 63L events
Realized PnL
$1,464
Win Rate
78%
223W / 63L
Profit Factor
1.24x
Avg Win
$115
Avg Loss
$-361

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,198 (4.232472223929418% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,352
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,050
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$1,796
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1,551
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1,326
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1,041
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$707
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$696
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$616
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $603

Top Losers

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$-5,295
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,604
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-1,818
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,734
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 31?$-1,161
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$-900
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-802
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?$-698
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-568
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-524

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.048
Sortino
0.033
HHI
170
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.018
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
18.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 340s — normal for humanCV 2.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.5
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.6%
Mid (20-55c)6.5%
High (>55c)91%

Sessions

#12
1/10/2026, 10:21:58 AM2 trades$4,3362 min
1/6/2026, 4:40:53 AM3 trades$4,2990 min
1/5/2026, 2:05:05 AM1 trades$4,2580 min
1/4/2026, 7:12:45 AM1 trades$4,1670 min
1/10/2026, 9:08:26 AM4 trades$4,1325 min
1/1/2026, 1:57:59 PM2 trades$3,8723 min
12/4/2025, 11:47:07 AM1 trades$3,3200 min
12/6/2025, 11:24:37 AM4 trades$3,0845 min
1/5/2026, 3:07:03 AM1 trades$2,9850 min
12/7/2025, 1:08:53 AM2 trades$2,8861 min
12/20/2025, 3:01:58 PM1 trades$2,8380 min
12/9/2025, 1:12:50 PM1 trades$2,7000 min
12/9/2025, 7:52:43 AM1 trades$2,4620 min
11/11/2025, 1:29:52 PM20 trades$2,3528 min
12/20/2025, 8:17:56 AM1 trades$2,3190 min
12/5/2025, 5:13:49 AM4 trades$2,2342 min
7/12/2026, 3:33:23 AM11 trades$2,18712 min
4/17/2026, 1:10:34 PM6 trades$2,1564 min
7/9/2026, 3:33:22 PM4 trades$2,0774 min
5/10/2026, 9:22:07 AM23 trades$2,0131 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-02
12-15
01-30
03-24
05-16
06-27
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.6 / M6.5 / H91