ExperimentalDude

@ExperimentalDude

#2,999,88534

0x02b640e5686c95289f60fe9090c1889e409b8f5f

~245d· 1664 markets · 8796 tradesVol: $618,4302026-08-05 17:28:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (1003/1662)15.2/20
0.82x (win $25,638 / loss $31,202)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3180/15
Sortino -1.4430/10
$-0.0258 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 38 (1662 markets)10/10
152/238 profitable days (64%)8.5/10
Max DD 716% of peak ($9,733 / $1,359)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 60%
DCA Master
Avg 5.3 entries/market
Whale
$215,769 invested
Consistent
152/238 profitable days
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#5,744$840Vol: $289,724
SPORTS#1,846,691$-1,578Vol: $176,648
CRYPTO#1,632,147$-1,338Vol: $140,168
🏛️ POLITICS#111,759$31Vol: $5,050
💰 FINANCE#22,690$66Vol: $640
📈 ECONOMICS#23,315$31Vol: $349
💻 TECH#240,739$-32Vol: $312

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,066
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$618,430
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1664
total markets
Trades
5698B / 3098S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~245d

Periods

#2
Today
$11
Vol: $425
Week
$108
Vol: $4,766
Month
$188
Vol: $7,972
All Time
$-2,066
Vol: $618,430

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
1002W / 659L events
Realized PnL
$-2,066
Win Rate
60%
1002W / 659L
Profit Factor
0.82x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$-49

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,620 (1.7516296536471818% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1,578
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1,044
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?$998
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$435
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$411
Bulls vs. Raptors$385
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?$310
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$299
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$255
Will England be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$247

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$-3,452
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 19?$-2,299
Nets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5$-944
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-749
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$-737
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 216.5$-500
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$-450
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$-439
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves$-409
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$-400

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.069
Sortino
-0.051
HHI
38
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.026
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
5.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
31.9
Active
Markets / Day
6.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
38.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 135s — normal for humanCV 3.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock32 trades/day — high frequency6.0 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.31
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.3%
Mid (20-55c)38.4%
High (>55c)54.2%

Sessions

#12
7/7/2026, 10:05:11 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
6/4/2026, 5:21:31 PM965 trades$2,896103 min
4/10/2026, 6:23:27 AM12 trades$2,6279 min
12/19/2025, 4:32:57 PM3 trades$2,3195 min
5/6/2026, 1:23:24 PM19 trades$2,3080 min
7/2/2026, 8:53:20 PM2 trades$2,2970 min
12/17/2025, 4:34:14 PM2 trades$2,2941 min
12/16/2025, 4:53:31 PM1 trades$2,2710 min
7/1/2026, 6:10:40 PM3 trades$2,2450 min
12/24/2025, 4:55:05 PM1 trades$2,1870 min
6/4/2026, 7:14:36 PM782 trades$2,121105 min
12/14/2025, 9:50:23 PM1 trades$2,0640 min
12/6/2025, 12:47:17 AM4 trades$1,9977 min
12/7/2025, 3:17:35 AM1 trades$1,9930 min
12/6/2025, 11:06:37 PM1 trades$1,9890 min
12/6/2025, 6:26:33 PM1 trades$1,9510 min
3/10/2026, 2:56:17 PM1 trades$1,9320 min
12/7/2025, 2:34:13 AM2 trades$1,9294 min
2/3/2026, 5:22:50 PM2 trades$1,7654 min
12/18/2025, 2:57:15 PM1 trades$1,7240 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-02
12-14
01-22
03-02
04-23
06-16
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 172 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.31/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.3 / M38.4 / H54.2