@wolvenfoxlikebear

#3,039,55022

0x02b8cadb743843a7ae4e336c0a467e73f2793deb

~163d· 122 markets · 1940 tradesVol: $294,0392026-08-05 16:36:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (41/84)9.4/20
0.11x (win $2,223 / loss $21,046)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7240/15
Sortino -4.5920/10
$-0.5178 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1147 (84 markets)6.8/10
27/50 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 3549% of peak ($19,512 / $550)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
73% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 10.2 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,635,365$-4,474Vol: $292,672
📈 ECONOMICS#9,797$153Vol: $1,097
SPORTS#362,788$3Vol: $220
💰 FINANCE#575,600$-11Vol: $50

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,329
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$294,039
Total Redeem
$308
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
122
total markets
Trades
1402B / 538S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~163d

Periods

#2
Today
$164
Vol: $124
Week
$-139
Vol: $2,538
Month
$-992
Vol: $2,838
All Time
$-4,329
Vol: $294,039

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
41W / 43L events
Realized PnL
$-4,441
Win Rate
49%
41W / 43L
Profit Factor
0.11x
Avg Win
$54
Avg Loss
$-489

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $847 (0.19070203173487907% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$384
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$235
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$228
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$142
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$139
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$135
Iran leadership change by March 31?$131
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$116
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$108
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$88

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-10,240
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-1,778
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,712
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-1,342
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$-1,324
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$-1,218
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$-895
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-544
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-398
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$-330

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.245
Sortino
-0.173
HHI
590
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.727
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.6%
Top-5 markets
43.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.2

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 422s — normal for humanCV 2.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.25
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)73.2%
Mid (20-55c)8.7%
High (>55c)18.1%

Sessions

#12
6/10/2026, 4:02:34 PM4 trades$4,2371 min
5/7/2026, 12:06:59 PM17 trades$3,7894 min
4/24/2026, 4:42:18 PM41 trades$2,67619 min
5/28/2026, 3:45:07 PM7 trades$2,5674 min
6/14/2026, 11:11:37 PM7 trades$2,0650 min
6/14/2026, 9:46:06 PM19 trades$1,7205 min
6/10/2026, 3:50:10 PM6 trades$1,5750 min
5/21/2026, 5:53:09 PM33 trades$1,4755 min
5/21/2026, 1:00:47 PM6 trades$1,1230 min
4/5/2026, 6:57:21 AM9 trades$1,0745 min
6/16/2026, 5:19:52 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
4/1/2026, 2:38:11 AM14 trades$9531 min
4/1/2026, 2:29:45 AM4 trades$9002 min
4/2/2026, 1:41:23 PM9 trades$8272 min
3/20/2026, 3:41:51 AM13 trades$80410 min
5/31/2026, 12:13:43 PM2 trades$7880 min
4/2/2026, 11:50:51 PM4 trades$6480 min
8/4/2026, 8:36:56 AM9 trades$6211 min
5/28/2026, 5:15:18 PM3 trades$6073 min
4/25/2026, 9:38:30 AM4 trades$5721 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-10
01-23
03-10
04-03
04-15
05-28
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 72 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.25/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L73.2 / M8.7 / H18.1