@guge1414

#2,600,46329

0x02d2c75e51d1c9fccecf4092c7e54b99ad0cbf18

~27d· 31 markets · 56 tradesVol: $23,4162026-08-04 22:43:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (20/29)19.5/20
0.29x (win $39 / loss $137)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.3870/15
Sortino -6.1470/10
$-0.0086 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3114 (29 markets)0/10
15/21 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($111 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Consistent
15/21 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

8
⚽ SPORTS#1,322,382$-9Vol: $16,930
🏛️ POLITICS#152,550$14Vol: $4,997
₿ CRYPTO#1,436,526$-75Vol: $545
💰 FINANCE#601,037$-24Vol: $230
💻 TECH#31,252$3Vol: $152
🎭 CULTURE#734,385$-24Vol: $128
📢 MENTIONS#68,584$-0Vol: $100
📈 ECONOMICS#157,495$0Vol: $83

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-117
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,416
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
44B / 12S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-117
Vol: $23,416

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
20W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-117
Win Rate
69%
20W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.29x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16 (0.13769171450604062% of PnL)

Top Winners

Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel $6
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,230 Week of June 22 2026?$5
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$5
Will Karmine Corp be the Last VCT EMEA Team Standing at EWC 2026?$4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$4
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?$3
Will Trump say "Buy Dell Computer / Buy a Dell Computer" in June?$3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?$3
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 3, 2026?$2
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?$1

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?$-56
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$-26
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$-24
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-21
Will Celtic win the UEFA Champions League?$-4
Brentford wins the Premier League?$-4
Will BSW win the most seats in the next German election?$-2
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?$-1
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.326
Sortino
-0.270
HHI
2849
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
59.0%
Half-Kelly
29.5%
Top-1 market
34.8%
Top-5 markets
91.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
37
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 342s — normal for humanCV 3.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.79
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.1%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)90.9%

Sessions

#12
1/30/2025, 7:01:08 AM4 trades$11,82310 min
1/30/2025, 7:29:26 AM3 trades$4,7135 min
1/30/2025, 7:17:12 AM1 trades$3,9360 min
2/24/2025, 8:10:43 AM2 trades$1120 min
11/30/2025, 2:37:12 PM2 trades$680 min
10/21/2025, 6:11:37 AM2 trades$660 min
9/29/2025, 9:47:35 AM2 trades$661 min
8/15/2025, 6:47:12 AM1 trades$660 min
7/20/2025, 8:48:55 AM1 trades$650 min
6/19/2025, 11:21:34 AM1 trades$620 min
5/22/2025, 10:00:33 PM1 trades$620 min
4/24/2025, 1:04:40 AM1 trades$590 min
7/5/2026, 6:13:22 AM3 trades$544 min
3/29/2025, 3:51:30 PM1 trades$520 min
2/4/2025, 4:05:02 PM1 trades$510 min
6/25/2026, 12:03:13 PM3 trades$380 min
7/5/2026, 2:37:47 AM2 trades$360 min
1/29/2026, 1:59:18 PM1 trades$260 min
1/5/2026, 2:32:25 PM1 trades$240 min
2/8/2026, 3:18:41 PM1 trades$210 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-30
04-24
07-20
10-21
01-05
02-08
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.1 / M0 / H90.9