@ignayes
#242,909290x02e1eab16b621da556c1447f0a01e963d8fdc7ea
~72d· 116 markets · 542 tradesVol: $2,5012026-08-04 17:22:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (50/91)12.5/20
0.67x (win $203 / loss $302)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0260/15
Sortino -3.6420/10
$-0.0851 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 324 (91 markets)10/10
26/48 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 570% of peak ($122 / $21)0/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+99
DCA Master
Avg 5.2 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#69,215$86Vol: $1,419
⚽ SPORTS#304,032$7Vol: $1,017
🎭 CULTURE#79,462$7Vol: $34
💻 TECH#183,488$-1Vol: $31
Overview
#1Net PnL
$99
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,501
Total Redeem
$16
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
116
total markets
Trades
263B / 279S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~72d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$3
Vol: $8
Month
$5
Vol: $32
All Time
$99
Vol: $2,501
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
55%
50W / 41L events
Realized PnL
$99
Win Rate
55%
50W / 41L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-10
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $88 (0.8903902389835637% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?$47
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?$26
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?$16
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?$10
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$10
Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9
Knicks vs. Spurs$6
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?$6
Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?$5
Nothing Ever Happens: November$5
Top Losers
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-60
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-25
Will Egypt be the highest-scoring team in Group G during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-25
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-22
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-17
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$-14
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-11
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$-8
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.157
Sortino
-0.170
HHI
149
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.105
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.8%
Top-5 markets
19.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 794s — normal for humanCV 0.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.23
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)6.5%
Mid (20-55c)12.5%
High (>55c)81%
Sessions
#126/7/2026, 2:53:18 PM7 trades$1133 min
6/7/2026, 2:45:36 PM3 trades$1000 min
4/13/2026, 4:26:09 AM8 trades$772 min
7/24/2026, 9:51:24 PM10 trades$735 min
5/16/2026, 5:14:19 AM6 trades$642 min
4/14/2026, 3:41:31 PM6 trades$560 min
4/13/2026, 2:14:31 AM8 trades$491 min
5/6/2026, 12:46:26 AM4 trades$402 min
5/6/2026, 10:14:32 PM4 trades$395 min
7/5/2026, 3:18:01 PM6 trades$384 min
4/15/2026, 7:32:32 PM2 trades$370 min
4/15/2026, 4:01:24 PM4 trades$370 min
7/6/2026, 6:32:41 AM8 trades$371 min
6/12/2026, 8:58:49 PM7 trades$351 min
6/27/2026, 4:30:25 AM8 trades$312 min
5/6/2026, 12:34:26 AM9 trades$305 min
6/10/2026, 5:20:01 AM7 trades$271 min
5/27/2026, 11:24:16 PM4 trades$261 min
8/1/2026, 9:38:26 PM4 trades$261 min
6/4/2026, 3:20:09 AM12 trades$2612 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-22
04-15
05-20
06-04
06-20
07-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 152 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.23/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.5 / M12.5 / H81