M19284

@M19284

#77,19913

0x02f09b29e2c5dc814ce93d1870e621b586f3d710

~118d· 162 markets · 1596 tradesVol: $436,227 @M2937152026-08-05 16:35:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (50/127)4.7/20
0.70x (win $4,296 / loss $6,096)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7700/15
Sortino -2.0410/10
$-0.0217 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1462 (127 markets)5.2/10
23/53 profitable days (43%)3.3/10
Max DD 258% of peak ($2,941 / $1,141)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+1,092
Whale
$82,853 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,574,140$-248Vol: $241,211
🎭 CULTURE#5,721$830Vol: $85,009
📈 ECONOMICS#20,551$39Vol: $69,091
💰 FINANCE#627,937$-79Vol: $31,198
📢 MENTIONS#2,032$554Vol: $5,618
CRYPTO#981,857$-3Vol: $2,914
💻 TECH#219,628$-6Vol: $1,064
🌤️ WEATHER#33,435$4Vol: $123

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,092
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$436,227
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
162
total markets
Trades
834B / 762S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~118d

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $0
Week
$-8
Vol: $0
Month
$-6
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,092
Vol: $436,227

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
50W / 77L events
Realized PnL
$1,092
Win Rate
39%
50W / 77L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$86
Avg Loss
$-87

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,206 (2.0207646369165384% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1,363
Will Jimmy Kimmel apologize by Friday?$438
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$406
Will Trump say "Drill baby drill" during his AI speech on July 23?$369
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$339
Will Trump say "Biden" during his AI speech on July 23?$200
US government shutdown by October 1?$142
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$135
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$118
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$109

Top Losers

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$-2,016
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-1,114
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-419
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-393
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$-266
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-231
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-187
Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?$-179
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-151
Israel strike on Iran on June 26?$-129

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.092
Sortino
-0.085
HHI
1175
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.025
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
32.3%
Top-5 markets
49.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 191s — normal for humanCV 2.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.45
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.7%
Mid (20-55c)15.7%
High (>55c)59.6%

Sessions

#12
7/31/2025, 1:39:33 AM1 trades$3,1990 min
8/1/2025, 8:46:22 AM2 trades$3,1410 min
7/2/2025, 1:03:53 PM3 trades$2,9411 min
8/4/2025, 8:16:02 AM1 trades$2,9060 min
7/29/2025, 5:54:33 AM1 trades$2,8860 min
9/21/2025, 1:32:54 AM1 trades$2,7980 min
9/30/2025, 2:50:51 AM1 trades$2,6930 min
10/6/2025, 7:35:25 AM2 trades$2,4093 min
7/20/2025, 7:56:37 AM6 trades$2,3475 min
6/26/2025, 11:28:01 PM9 trades$2,3383 min
1/30/2026, 7:06:50 PM12 trades$2,33812 min
7/29/2025, 5:09:57 AM1 trades$2,1610 min
8/2/2025, 9:37:30 AM1 trades$2,1420 min
7/29/2025, 1:04:57 AM4 trades$2,1346 min
9/23/2025, 10:33:10 PM10 trades$2,0054 min
10/4/2025, 1:21:55 PM1 trades$1,9590 min
5/25/2026, 2:51:25 AM58 trades$1,8053 min
5/25/2026, 2:46:24 AM21 trades$1,7640 min
9/17/2025, 12:15:16 AM2 trades$1,5603 min
9/30/2025, 5:16:23 AM1 trades$1,5600 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-26
07-26
09-21
10-06
01-23
03-22
05-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 90 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.7 / M15.7 / H59.6