Deestar

@Deestar

#2,953,61646

0x032d912b3a30d059ead309e5315c3e0f42407168

~46d· 71 markets · 533 tradesVol: $54,298 @Deestar2026-08-04 19:00:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (17/69)0/20
1.22x (win $3,980 / loss $3,270)5.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.57815/15
Sortino 2.55810/10
$+0.0567 per $1 invested2.8/10
HHI 449 (69 markets)10/10
15/35 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 95% of peak ($957 / $1,011)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,834,667$-1,155Vol: $42,202
🏛️ POLITICS#1,493,741$-71Vol: $10,302
CRYPTO#1,027,750$-5Vol: $1,160
📈 ECONOMICS#625,744$-19Vol: $389
💻 TECH#235,829$-20Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,267
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$54,298
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
71
total markets
Trades
228B / 305S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
17W / 52L events
Realized PnL
$-1,267
Win Rate
25%
17W / 52L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$234
Avg Loss
$-86

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,842 (1.4536824412300846% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Julio Enciso score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$722
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$619
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$502
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$326
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score$254
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score$238
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$203
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score$182
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score$180
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score$127

Top Losers

Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-443
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5$-400
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-240
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-200
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$-197
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-160
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-146
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?$-132
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-100
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.081
Sortino
0.121
HHI
114
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.111
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5%
Top-5 markets
19.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
44.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2667s — normal for humanCV 1.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.72
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18%
Mid (20-55c)23.2%
High (>55c)58.8%

Sessions

#12
6/4/2026, 12:16:48 PM2 trades$3,0000 min
7/22/2026, 9:19:15 AM11 trades$1,6941 min
7/4/2026, 10:33:10 PM5 trades$1,2422 min
6/8/2026, 12:25:58 PM10 trades$1,1723 min
7/9/2026, 12:43:59 PM16 trades$1,0780 min
7/29/2026, 9:32:24 AM5 trades$9800 min
6/19/2026, 6:07:20 PM8 trades$7388 min
6/17/2026, 5:40:35 AM2 trades$6000 min
6/9/2026, 6:45:55 AM15 trades$5865 min
6/29/2026, 7:10:55 AM7 trades$5731 min
6/19/2026, 9:52:32 PM8 trades$5722 min
7/6/2026, 9:10:37 PM8 trades$5365 min
6/4/2026, 12:17:18 AM2 trades$5000 min
7/4/2026, 12:03:40 AM4 trades$4780 min
6/15/2026, 10:15:30 PM8 trades$4290 min
6/17/2026, 11:36:35 AM4 trades$4220 min
6/13/2026, 12:24:58 PM2 trades$4000 min
6/19/2026, 9:17:23 PM9 trades$3991 min
6/8/2026, 1:17:06 PM7 trades$3901 min
7/7/2026, 12:17:07 AM4 trades$3860 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
06-08
06-15
06-20
06-27
07-03
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.72/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18 / M23.2 / H58.8