@JoniSilvennoinen

#2,822,19337

0x033322eb5c581674ad6c061c6b95b1587d267d70

~71d· 903 markets · 2512 tradesVol: $122,6562026-08-04 23:12:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (608/881)19.5/20
0.86x (win $943 / loss $1,095)0.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1900/15
Sortino -1.3880/10
$-0.0338 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 76 (881 markets)10/10
40/69 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 210% of peak ($342 / $163)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#66,848$10Vol: $69,729
CRYPTO#1,452,745$-88Vol: $29,391
SPORTS#1,722,640$-160Vol: $6,474
🏛️ POLITICS#298,975$2Vol: $385
🌤️ WEATHER#272,345$-39Vol: $303
💰 FINANCE#585,310$-14Vol: $297
📈 ECONOMICS#504,362$-2Vol: $37
💻 TECH#58,517$0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-403
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$122,656
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
903
total markets
Trades
1496B / 1016S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~71d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $20
Week
$1
Vol: $120
Month
$-3
Vol: $161
All Time
$-403
Vol: $122,656

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
608W / 271L events
Realized PnL
$-403
Win Rate
69%
608W / 271L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $179 (0.4430332647036936% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$103
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$45
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$30
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?$30
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$21
Rainbow Six Siege: Rival Esports vs Man eSports LFO (BO3) - Asia Pacific League Oceania - Stage 1 Playoffs$19
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D$17
Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega$17
Counter-Strike: Dark Moon vs Strael-Bora (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season$17
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs$16

Top Losers

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-200
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs$-59
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner$-51
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-48
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs$-35
Rainbow Six Siege: LOUD vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - South America League Stage 1 Group Stage$-35
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A$-33
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Wildcard (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs$-33
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?$-25
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?$-24

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.062
Sortino
-0.053
HHI
69
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.033
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
11.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.9
Active
Markets / Day
4.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
52.2m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 456s — normal for humanCV 1.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active4.7 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.88
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.3%
Mid (20-55c)10.4%
High (>55c)60.3%

Sessions

#12
1/20/2026, 4:53:20 PM2 trades$1290 min
1/24/2026, 7:58:54 AM1 trades$1170 min
1/25/2026, 5:25:22 PM4 trades$978 min
1/23/2026, 9:05:32 PM1 trades$950 min
2/21/2026, 2:07:00 PM1 trades$930 min
1/24/2026, 3:26:28 PM2 trades$824 min
1/25/2026, 5:01:02 PM1 trades$690 min
1/22/2026, 6:25:20 PM2 trades$683 min
6/17/2026, 4:46:14 PM2 trades$650 min
1/22/2026, 10:18:00 AM14 trades$6424 min
7/16/2026, 6:25:16 PM7 trades$605 min
7/6/2026, 5:56:22 AM2 trades$600 min
7/12/2026, 12:55:08 PM4 trades$580 min
2/17/2026, 4:44:49 PM2 trades$532 min
1/24/2026, 5:09:38 PM6 trades$5112 min
2/23/2026, 3:20:16 PM3 trades$511 min
6/29/2026, 5:24:13 PM34 trades$503 min
1/24/2026, 6:47:18 PM3 trades$465 min
7/15/2026, 8:55:17 AM6 trades$450 min
2/3/2026, 8:16:42 PM5 trades$445 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-19
01-31
02-23
06-26
07-07
07-18
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 160 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29.3 / M10.4 / H60.3