@Equoia
#2,756,026260x036dfb2e3039855d61955ad0dc82b4a7f56b7cd9
~45d· 58 markets · 188 tradesVol: $13,6532026-08-04 23:28:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
51% (23/45)10.6/20
0.69x (win $1,515 / loss $2,210)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6240/15
Sortino -2.9140/10
$-0.1605 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 491 (45 markets)10/10
15/29 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 522% of peak ($1,180 / $226)0/10
Badges
2Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,509,573$-88Vol: $7,403
⚽ SPORTS#90,369$188Vol: $4,611
💰 FINANCE#36,581$25Vol: $706
📈 ECONOMICS#674,017$-377Vol: $664
🎭 CULTURE#627,550$-4Vol: $214
₿ CRYPTO#896,808$-1Vol: $56
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-258
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,653
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
58
total markets
Trades
87B / 101S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d
Periods
#2Today
$-15
Vol: $159
Week
$-21
Vol: $396
Month
$-6
Vol: $684
All Time
$-258
Vol: $13,653
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
49%
21W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-258
Win Rate
49%
21W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$66
Avg Loss
$-100
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $621 (2.403149667234174% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$262
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?$183
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?$176
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$99
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$98
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$95
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$92
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$87
NBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team?$79
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$62
Top Losers
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-508
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$-400
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?$-360
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$-150
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?$-143
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$-140
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-120
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$-100
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$-49
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Piastri?$-40
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.135
Sortino
-0.127
HHI
552
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.145
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.9%
Top-5 markets
39.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.6h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 922s — normal for humanCV 1.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.67
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)25.3%
Mid (20-55c)31%
High (>55c)43.7%
Sessions
#126/15/2026, 8:03:55 PM5 trades$5535 min
7/17/2026, 4:48:57 AM10 trades$5127 min
3/6/2026, 12:02:21 PM2 trades$4232 min
7/12/2026, 3:56:40 AM2 trades$4050 min
4/17/2026, 6:41:02 PM7 trades$3154 min
7/11/2026, 4:31:10 PM4 trades$3140 min
6/26/2026, 6:55:47 AM2 trades$3090 min
5/24/2026, 4:48:47 AM2 trades$2650 min
4/17/2026, 12:03:12 PM8 trades$2551 min
6/17/2026, 8:13:28 PM2 trades$2310 min
3/2/2026, 1:32:53 PM1 trades$2000 min
6/18/2026, 8:51:41 PM7 trades$1840 min
3/11/2026, 10:57:01 AM1 trades$1800 min
7/26/2026, 11:41:34 AM7 trades$1734 min
3/6/2026, 2:40:21 PM2 trades$1702 min
7/12/2026, 8:27:43 PM7 trades$1662 min
3/6/2026, 2:55:23 PM1 trades$1500 min
5/27/2026, 2:57:05 AM2 trades$1430 min
2/28/2026, 6:42:35 PM4 trades$1408 min
4/8/2026, 6:55:23 AM8 trades$1371 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-21
03-07
03-16
05-02
06-03
07-11
07-18
07-31
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 134 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.67/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.3 / M31 / H43.7