@variousthings

#2,767,8203

0x03b384f0aa8c2776415adf2fd56121b1f2ca9aaf

~34d· 11 markets · 210 tradesVol: $36,5182026-08-05 03:16:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

11% (1/9)0/20
0.00x (win $6 / loss $1,548)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -19.5240/15
Sortino -13.6560/10
$-0.8054 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1967 (9 markets)2.7/10
1/7 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,542 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
77% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

3
💰 FINANCE#634,281$-108Vol: $21,526
⚽ SPORTS#1,702,300$-125Vol: $8,333
₿ CRYPTO#1,375,802$-45Vol: $6,659

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-278
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,518
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
11
total markets
Trades
178B / 32S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

Periods

#2
Week
$3
Vol: $0
Month
$-10
Vol: $0
All Time
$-278
Vol: $36,518

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
11%
1W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-278
Win Rate
11%
1W / 8L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-221

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6 (0.022040053212526518% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$6

Top Losers

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$-526
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-296
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-268
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$-142
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-140
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-88
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-88

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.946
Sortino
-1.023
HHI
1411
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.841
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.6%
Top-5 markets
77.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 656s — normal for humanCV 1.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.22
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)77%
Mid (20-55c)1.1%
High (>55c)21.9%

Sessions

#12
4/25/2026, 6:05:48 AM10 trades$6272 min
5/1/2026, 12:27:14 PM8 trades$3607 min
6/17/2026, 11:05:53 PM5 trades$3173 min
5/2/2026, 8:03:58 AM4 trades$2720 min
4/11/2026, 12:04:09 AM29 trades$2521 min
5/21/2026, 5:14:07 AM9 trades$2322 min
5/5/2026, 1:42:04 PM3 trades$1661 min
5/2/2026, 8:46:04 AM1 trades$1100 min
5/3/2026, 1:58:48 AM3 trades$1092 min
4/26/2026, 7:46:48 PM8 trades$1020 min
5/6/2026, 2:04:18 PM3 trades$910 min
12/28/2025, 10:13:41 PM2 trades$760 min
4/15/2026, 6:21:26 AM1 trades$600 min
4/23/2026, 4:06:38 PM1 trades$580 min
5/2/2026, 9:06:44 AM1 trades$580 min
4/30/2026, 10:28:42 AM3 trades$570 min
5/7/2026, 1:09:10 PM1 trades$520 min
12/23/2025, 5:01:37 PM2 trades$520 min
5/15/2026, 11:34:44 AM1 trades$500 min
5/6/2026, 2:22:53 PM1 trades$480 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-11
04-15
05-01
05-04
05-06
05-21
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
15.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.22/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L77 / M1.1 / H21.9