XOTRADER

@XOTRADER

#3,054,0382

0x03c116bdf8e9237e72873362c768230543333e98

~24d· 78 markets · 804 tradesVol: $504,1112026-08-05 00:40:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (24/76)0.8/20
0.27x (win $3,842 / loss $14,051)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.8080/15
Sortino -3.9280/10
$-1.2045 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6329 (76 markets)0/10
7/21 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 634% of peak ($12,125 / $1,911)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
56% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,528,907$-109Vol: $295,727
SPORTS#1,875,338$-7,502Vol: $118,808
CRYPTO#1,251,201$-19Vol: $38,153
🎭 CULTURE#766,329$-58Vol: $26,660
💰 FINANCE#601,922$-25Vol: $1,099
🌤️ WEATHER#203,738$-2Vol: $1,016

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,734
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$504,111
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
78
total markets
Trades
282B / 522S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-7,734
Vol: $504,111

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
24W / 52L events
Realized PnL
$-7,734
Win Rate
32%
24W / 52L
Profit Factor
0.27x
Avg Win
$160
Avg Loss
$-426

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,635 (0.4700031808343096% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$3,510
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4PM ET$82
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$29
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)$22
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?$8
NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistons$8

Top Losers

Will England win on 2026-07-11?$-9,737
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$-1,058
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 England?$-991
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$-951
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?$-378
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-197
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$-158
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-134
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$-125
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$-80

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.195
Sortino
-0.160
HHI
3497
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-1.164
Kelly %
0.2%
Half-Kelly
0.1%
Top-1 market
57.4%
Top-5 markets
82.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
34s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
9.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 34s — normal for humanCV 9.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule20 trades/day — very active1.9 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.86
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)56%
Mid (20-55c)12.1%
High (>55c)31.9%

Sessions

#12
6/6/2026, 1:20:43 PM3 trades$39,8000 min
7/7/2026, 8:03:23 PM52 trades$37,0707 min
6/5/2026, 8:13:28 AM19 trades$26,1500 min
6/4/2026, 9:41:57 PM2 trades$25,4000 min
6/5/2026, 5:25:39 PM2 trades$24,4150 min
6/7/2026, 8:36:55 AM2 trades$23,7500 min
7/8/2026, 8:30:47 AM2 trades$16,4250 min
6/4/2026, 9:15:31 PM3 trades$10,3200 min
6/6/2026, 8:05:10 AM2 trades$9,9500 min
7/11/2026, 7:35:38 PM2 trades$9,1420 min
7/11/2026, 7:47:28 PM2 trades$8,2590 min
7/9/2026, 10:57:05 PM2 trades$8,0000 min
6/4/2026, 9:07:46 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
6/7/2026, 1:22:12 PM12 trades$4,2991 min
7/10/2026, 10:13:35 AM9 trades$3,3014 min
7/10/2026, 9:11:53 AM172 trades$2,58315 min
6/23/2026, 5:13:38 PM86 trades$2,5310 min
7/10/2026, 10:26:29 AM6 trades$2,0601 min
6/6/2026, 7:26:45 AM4 trades$1,9440 min
7/14/2026, 2:25:25 PM2 trades$1,4000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-04
06-07
06-10
06-21
06-25
07-06
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.86/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L56 / M12.1 / H31.9