@0x1a91…caf2

#2,870,93528

0x03c45e1aa50d645d398bfa32d746d44b676a01bd

~27d· 61 markets · 139 tradesVol: $267,2692026-08-04 18:13:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (33/56)14.5/20
0.68x (win $9,467 / loss $13,978)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6390/15
Sortino -4.4430/10
$-0.1557 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 744 (56 markets)8.8/10
11/22 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 283% of peak ($6,973 / $2,462)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
10 wins in a row

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,867,537$-3,671Vol: $123,802
🏛️ POLITICS#1,580,469$-301Vol: $101,044
CRYPTO#14,379$3,160Vol: $39,955
🎭 CULTURE#17,713$131Vol: $1,266
💻 TECH#11,219$28Vol: $659
💰 FINANCE#27,903$44Vol: $544

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-592
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$267,269
Total Redeem
$3,508
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
61
total markets
Trades
70B / 69S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

Periods

#2
Today
$83
Vol: $0
Week
$80
Vol: $0
Month
$94
Vol: $0
All Time
$-592
Vol: $267,269

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
33W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-592
Win Rate
59%
33W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$287
Avg Loss
$-608

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,201 (10.471097826637623% of PnL)

Top Winners

Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$2,158
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$2,072
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$1,971
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$874
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?$297
Spread: Navy (-7.5)$248
Suns vs. Heat: O/U 230.5$190
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$160
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5$145
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5$144

Top Losers

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-3,200
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,000
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$-2,000
[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?$-1,084
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,002
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-1,000
Oilers vs. Predators$-500
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?$-449
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$-320
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-287

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.186
Sortino
-0.222
HHI
759
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.138
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.8%
Top-5 markets
52.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
33
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 60s — normal for humanCV 1.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.09
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.9%
Mid (20-55c)35.7%
High (>55c)51.4%

Sessions

#12
12/30/2025, 10:06:49 PM5 trades$4,7671 min
3/24/2026, 11:30:17 PM3 trades$4,0004 min
12/31/2025, 8:35:07 AM2 trades$3,8900 min
12/30/2025, 1:49:07 PM2 trades$3,7742 min
12/6/2025, 5:01:43 PM1 trades$3,6580 min
12/29/2025, 1:48:05 PM2 trades$3,2000 min
8/31/2025, 10:14:24 PM10 trades$2,99813 min
1/13/2026, 11:03:20 PM7 trades$2,0507 min
4/15/2026, 9:15:20 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
5/21/2026, 11:17:01 PM24 trades$1,9653 min
6/6/2026, 1:06:48 AM7 trades$1,5790 min
12/3/2025, 11:41:29 PM1 trades$1,5000 min
12/10/2025, 2:56:26 PM2 trades$1,5000 min
7/1/2026, 9:41:17 PM4 trades$1,4990 min
12/2/2025, 12:40:38 PM4 trades$1,1215 min
9/3/2025, 10:32:48 PM3 trades$1,1004 min
1/10/2024, 8:04:50 AM1 trades$1,0840 min
7/2/2023, 7:26:32 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
12/30/2025, 12:13:33 AM12 trades$66219 min
12/7/2025, 2:07:57 PM1 trades$6600 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-02
09-03
12-02
12-20
12-31
01-14
04-12
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 180 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.09/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.9 / M35.7 / H51.4