@totheballoon
#326,467840x040939f6fc205c72a3bddfc468d9c47307e905ee
~9d· 23 markets · 190 tradesVol: $9,2022026-08-04 23:35:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
84
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
53% (8/15)11.7/20
4.57x (win $350 / loss $77)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.15215/15
Sortino 45.82210/10
$+0.7241 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1333 (15 markets)5.8/10
4/7 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 15% of peak ($48 / $322)10/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+45
DCA Master
Avg 12.5 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 15%
Categories
5⚽ SPORTS#169,019$48Vol: $8,607
₿ CRYPTO#935,919$-2Vol: $475
🎭 CULTURE#474,042$-0Vol: $58
🏛️ POLITICS#707,336$-0Vol: $44
💰 FINANCE#377,171$-0Vol: $18
Overview
#1Net PnL
$45
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,202
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
97B / 93S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d
Periods
#2Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-3
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$45
Vol: $9,202
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
53%
8W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$45
Win Rate
53%
8W / 7L
Profit Factor
4.56x
Avg Win
$44
Avg Loss
$-15
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $339 (7.487966438507397% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$251
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$45
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$43
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$6
Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$3
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$1
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0
Top Losers
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?$-32
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$-20
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-18
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.395
Sortino
5.486
HHI
1600
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.611
Kelly %
19.6%
Half-Kelly
9.8%
Top-1 market
24.7%
Top-5 markets
79.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
19s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
20
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.5
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 19s — normal for humanCV 0.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)48% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 3:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
12.53
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)17.5%
Mid (20-55c)14.4%
High (>55c)68%
Sessions
#126/25/2026, 8:08:22 PM18 trades$1467 min
6/29/2026, 6:11:59 PM16 trades$1441 min
6/29/2026, 6:01:50 PM20 trades$1373 min
6/30/2026, 3:26:35 AM58 trades$1346 min
6/8/2026, 8:56:07 PM6 trades$703 min
6/29/2026, 5:49:31 PM4 trades$701 min
7/1/2026, 3:08:55 PM8 trades$402 min
6/30/2026, 2:54:43 AM16 trades$243 min
6/12/2026, 11:10:49 PM2 trades$210 min
6/18/2026, 5:27:13 AM2 trades$210 min
7/1/2026, 2:57:08 PM5 trades$161 min
7/25/2026, 8:20:39 PM2 trades$140 min
6/30/2026, 1:38:59 AM12 trades$127 min
6/25/2026, 3:46:38 PM6 trades$90 min
6/8/2026, 8:39:37 PM2 trades$60 min
6/30/2026, 1:52:04 AM2 trades$50 min
6/30/2026, 10:19:14 PM4 trades$41 min
6/25/2026, 6:20:25 AM5 trades$20 min
6/24/2026, 5:34:40 AM1 trades$10 min
6/25/2026, 12:25:14 AM1 trades$10 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-08
06-12
06-18
06-25
06-29
06-30
07-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.5 / M14.4 / H68