@ashinality

#2,330,83214

0x043d5ffeca5f9ef29bf22a1bf112c0ff8ca1e84f

~9d· 11 markets · 75 tradesVol: $6,3372026-08-04 19:06:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (4/9)7.2/20
0.47x (win $442 / loss $932)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.6930/15
Sortino -4.7660/10
$-0.2390 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2713 (9 markets)0/10
4/7 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 2341% of peak ($742 / $32)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
51% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,732,396$-184Vol: $3,900
CRYPTO#155,166$31Vol: $1,141
🎭 CULTURE#58,438$14Vol: $600
💰 FINANCE#17,236$110Vol: $596
🏛️ POLITICS#1,361,092$-18Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-47
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,337
Total Redeem
$470
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
11
total markets
Trades
61B / 14S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
4W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-47
Win Rate
44%
4W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.47x
Avg Win
$111
Avg Loss
$-186

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $440 (9.398120461341307% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$220
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$168
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$52
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?$2

Top Losers

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-742
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-114
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-40
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$-18
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-18

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.227
Sortino
-0.168
HHI
2650
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.243
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
36.2%
Top-5 markets
93.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
19.0m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
23
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 2.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern10/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.33
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)50.8%
Mid (20-55c)11.5%
High (>55c)37.7%

Sessions

#12
4/17/2026, 10:46:20 AM13 trades$6970 min
3/16/2026, 1:05:01 PM1 trades$2990 min
4/14/2026, 7:21:45 AM8 trades$2650 min
11/22/2025, 6:48:45 AM22 trades$1844 min
7/20/2026, 8:21:34 AM2 trades$1460 min
7/20/2026, 8:00:19 AM2 trades$1400 min
3/16/2026, 10:19:13 AM1 trades$1190 min
4/14/2026, 7:26:47 AM2 trades$1060 min
1/31/2026, 2:07:10 PM3 trades$421 min
1/18/2026, 10:03:04 AM1 trades$330 min
1/18/2026, 10:10:44 AM1 trades$330 min
1/18/2026, 10:21:18 AM1 trades$330 min
1/18/2026, 11:22:30 AM1 trades$180 min
1/22/2026, 11:48:26 PM1 trades$180 min
2/5/2026, 1:30:33 PM1 trades$180 min
1/18/2026, 12:03:16 PM7 trades$135 min
1/18/2026, 2:06:58 PM2 trades$94 min
1/22/2026, 10:09:54 PM1 trades$60 min
11/22/2025, 8:40:43 AM1 trades$20 min
1/22/2026, 10:32:20 PM1 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-22
01-18
01-22
02-05
03-16
04-14
04-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 29 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.33/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L50.8 / M11.5 / H37.7