@0x04B3F8…2951
#27,529750x04b3f873b003eba3774df1e5e47a370d27ee1b7e
~151d· 3274 markets · 24639 tradesVol: $254,8192026-08-04 18:55:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
60% (1816/3009)15.2/20
1.20x (win $24,735 / loss $20,529)5.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.45715/15
Sortino 9.53510/10
$+0.0638 per $1 invested3.2/10
HHI 13 (3009 markets)10/10
81/147 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 16% of peak ($691 / $4,336)10/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 60%
Profitable
PnL $+4,534
DCA Master
Avg 8.4 entries/market
Whale
$65,875 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 16%
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🌤️ WEATHER#539$3,766Vol: $124,320
🏛️ POLITICS#21,751$737Vol: $73,491
💰 FINANCE#16,228$123Vol: $18,316
🎭 CULTURE#760,292$-49Vol: $15,212
💻 TECH#15,531$14Vol: $6,729
📈 ECONOMICS#642,029$-37Vol: $5,804
📢 MENTIONS#25,796$5Vol: $3,274
₿ CRYPTO#1,203,605$-14Vol: $788
⚽ SPORTS#226,943$21Vol: $709
Overview
#1Net PnL
$4,534
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$254,819
Total Redeem
$1,521
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3274
total markets
Trades
9713B / 14926S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~151d
Periods
#2Today
$120
Vol: $2,979
Week
$110
Vol: $6,917
Month
$64
Vol: $8,308
All Time
$4,534
Vol: $254,819
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
60%
1814W / 1194L events
Realized PnL
$4,534
Win Rate
60%
1814W / 1194L
Profit Factor
1.2x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-20
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,955 (0.43110730757269305% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$694
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$631
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$630
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$368
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 18?$261
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$243
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?$226
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$205
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$190
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 19?$186
Top Losers
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-245
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$-224
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-150
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?$-145
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-144
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$-110
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$-105
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?$-102
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 9?$-101
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-99
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.180
Sortino
0.476
HHI
11
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.063
Kelly %
12.2%
Half-Kelly
6.1%
Top-1 market
0.7%
Top-5 markets
3.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
50.1
Very active
Markets / Day
6.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
19.9m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.8
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 310s — normal for humanCV 0.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock50 trades/day — mass trading6.7 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.38
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)6%
Mid (20-55c)14.6%
High (>55c)79.4%
Sessions
#126/14/2026, 9:15:57 PM178 trades$52770 min
5/1/2026, 1:31:34 PM66 trades$52041 min
7/13/2026, 2:16:52 PM24 trades$4185 min
6/17/2026, 5:51:05 PM26 trades$38715 min
4/24/2026, 1:33:16 PM55 trades$35139 min
6/12/2026, 6:02:07 PM37 trades$31016 min
4/29/2026, 6:10:12 PM57 trades$30524 min
4/24/2026, 5:00:46 PM34 trades$2938 min
4/23/2026, 1:52:40 PM12 trades$26910 min
6/7/2026, 2:34:43 PM5 trades$2683 min
4/27/2026, 12:59:58 AM8 trades$2620 min
4/17/2026, 1:02:46 PM77 trades$25524 min
6/18/2026, 11:57:53 PM27 trades$25411 min
8/2/2026, 12:01:57 AM4 trades$2442 min
3/31/2026, 4:37:55 PM48 trades$24313 min
5/10/2026, 5:53:15 PM10 trades$2398 min
7/8/2026, 1:39:10 AM11 trades$2335 min
5/13/2026, 7:21:08 PM26 trades$23218 min
7/21/2026, 9:39:13 PM5 trades$2250 min
4/30/2026, 1:31:50 PM17 trades$22212 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-07
04-03
04-27
05-21
06-14
07-09
08-02
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 12 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
38% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6 / M14.6 / H79.4