@MelonMusk69

#2,963,19427

0x04d5de32ec01c89038b286f69d510b0bad52188f

~64d· 294 markets · 2527 tradesVol: $52,3442026-08-04 17:35:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (102/204)10/20
0.25x (win $1,677 / loss $6,584)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.0150/15
Sortino -3.9690/10
$-0.4168 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 760 (204 markets)8.7/10
25/39 profitable days (64%)8.5/10
Max DD 954% of peak ($5,482 / $575)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 12.6 entries/market
Consistent
25/39 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,821,187$-873Vol: $17,362
🏛️ POLITICS#1,546,628$-149Vol: $16,924
🌤️ WEATHER#293,862$-345Vol: $7,043
🎭 CULTURE#56,014$15Vol: $6,686
📈 ECONOMICS#649,995$-55Vol: $3,659
CRYPTO#1,224,142$-16Vol: $333
💰 FINANCE#51,526$12Vol: $330
📢 MENTIONS#34,302$2Vol: $7

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,408
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$52,344
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
294
total markets
Trades
1259B / 1268S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~64d

Periods

#2
Today
$-12
Vol: $2,535
Week
$-13
Vol: $2,535
Month
$22
Vol: $2,535
All Time
$-1,408
Vol: $52,344

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
102W / 102L events
Realized PnL
$-1,408
Win Rate
50%
102W / 102L
Profit Factor
0.25x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-137

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $738 (0.5243966533615535% of PnL)

Top Winners

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$404
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$214
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$121
Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?$70
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$68
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$68
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$67
Will Mike Collins win the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election by 10–15%?$57
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?$54
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?$41

Top Losers

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-3,013
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-2,186
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-379
Will one person dissent the June Fed decision?$-308
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$-116
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$-72
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$-58
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$-47
Will Ryan Crosswell be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?$-43
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.207
Sortino
-0.129
HHI
594
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.470
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.3%
Top-5 markets
46.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
56.3m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
28.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 252s — normal for humanCV 2.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active1.7 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.57
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.9%
Mid (20-55c)36.3%
High (>55c)43.8%

Sessions

#12
8/4/2026, 4:59:51 PM70 trades$2,3860 min
6/10/2026, 2:43:24 AM391 trades$1,8662 min
3/24/2026, 12:47:03 AM45 trades$1,5554 min
6/17/2026, 6:03:22 PM229 trades$1,1202 min
5/8/2026, 12:26:04 PM17 trades$9850 min
6/3/2026, 4:32:34 PM172 trades$8251 min
5/7/2026, 1:01:28 PM1 trades$5980 min
4/25/2026, 9:45:06 PM2 trades$5740 min
6/10/2026, 1:07:45 PM2 trades$5250 min
4/6/2026, 5:42:03 PM23 trades$46913 min
3/24/2026, 12:57:25 AM19 trades$4673 min
6/3/2026, 7:26:21 AM12 trades$4200 min
5/7/2026, 1:20:34 PM4 trades$4000 min
4/4/2026, 8:12:13 PM9 trades$3620 min
4/5/2026, 3:37:37 AM10 trades$2370 min
4/5/2026, 3:42:53 AM7 trades$2211 min
4/7/2026, 2:27:45 AM17 trades$2060 min
5/4/2026, 2:33:04 PM8 trades$2001 min
6/16/2026, 11:39:32 PM45 trades$1948 min
4/7/2026, 4:18:57 PM13 trades$1714 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-17
03-09
03-24
04-28
05-28
06-11
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.57/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.9 / M36.3 / H43.8