
@RiverBlues
#232,584820x04f66b4db79bc8e27513c705bcfe124eebf39bcd
~122d· 1411 markets · 3436 tradesVol: $37,6142026-08-04 19:42:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
85% (1189/1406)20/20
1.33x (win $916 / loss $688)6.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.80815/15
Sortino 4.58310/10
$+0.0136 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 28 (1406 markets)10/10
91/119 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 23% of peak ($64 / $272)9.3/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+106
Consistent
91/119 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 23%
Win Streak
28 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9₿ CRYPTO#123,656$54Vol: $28,863
🌤️ WEATHER#262,944$-22Vol: $6,400
⚽ SPORTS#170,008$48Vol: $1,462
💰 FINANCE#82,486$4Vol: $319
🏛️ POLITICS#138,110$18Vol: $238
📈 ECONOMICS#127,312$1Vol: $51
💻 TECH#32,735$2Vol: $30
📢 MENTIONS#51,877$0Vol: $21
🎭 CULTURE#134,587$2Vol: $20
Overview
#1Net PnL
$106
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$37,614
Total Redeem
$3,526
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1411
total markets
Trades
1724B / 1712S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~122d
Periods
#2Today
$-30
Vol: $109
Week
$-29
Vol: $570
Month
$-14
Vol: $692
All Time
$106
Vol: $37,614
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
85%
1189W / 217L events
Realized PnL
$106
Win Rate
85%
1189W / 217L
Profit Factor
1.33x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-6
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $98 (0.9194384245736361% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$42
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$29
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$27
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$22
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$18
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$16
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?$15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 3?$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$14
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$14
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 1?$-100
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-24
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-22
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?$-18
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on March 27?$-15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 23?$-14
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-14
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-14
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-13
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.146
Sortino
0.146
HHI
34
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
22.9
Active
Markets / Day
9.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
65%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
27.3
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 62s — normal for humanCV 1.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)65% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency9.4 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.5
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1.9%
Mid (20-55c)5.6%
High (>55c)92.5%
Sessions
#123/25/2026, 2:05:23 PM4 trades$43910 min
3/28/2026, 4:06:31 PM2 trades$4001 min
3/27/2026, 4:09:39 PM3 trades$3802 min
6/17/2026, 4:39:23 AM77 trades$32324 min
6/18/2026, 4:38:56 AM70 trades$31633 min
6/21/2026, 5:22:04 AM80 trades$31518 min
3/30/2026, 5:16:46 AM3 trades$3024 min
3/26/2026, 3:13:11 PM2 trades$3001 min
6/14/2026, 4:59:43 AM46 trades$27221 min
6/26/2026, 5:50:23 AM32 trades$25925 min
4/29/2026, 5:27:42 AM49 trades$25616 min
6/16/2026, 5:42:15 AM57 trades$22118 min
4/24/2026, 5:35:22 AM40 trades$21910 min
6/6/2026, 5:36:00 AM56 trades$20525 min
4/1/2026, 4:29:43 PM2 trades$2010 min
4/28/2026, 5:29:30 AM35 trades$20016 min
3/22/2026, 5:00:07 AM3 trades$1982 min
6/19/2026, 5:26:55 AM40 trades$19621 min
3/21/2026, 7:46:29 AM2 trades$1960 min
3/20/2026, 5:52:05 AM2 trades$1950 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-08
03-31
04-30
05-19
06-16
07-09
07-30
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
24% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.9 / M5.6 / H92.5