@road2million

#2,843,41919

0x0594680ecb55045909f3f71d93b87d5e836190a5

~191d· 2453 markets · 5575 tradesVol: $243,1302026-08-05 15:50:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (954/2446)4.5/20
1.00x (win $4,087 / loss $4,080)2.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0100.2/15
Sortino 0.0230.2/10
$+0.0006 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 212 (2446 markets)10/10
66/182 profitable days (36%)1.6/10
Max DD 4374% of peak ($1,209 / $28)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
59% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,624,189$-1,116Vol: $181,825
🌤️ WEATHER#283,524$-87Vol: $27,622
💻 TECH#231,513$-14Vol: $9,720
📈 ECONOMICS#3,843$699Vol: $8,125
🎭 CULTURE#769,501$-61Vol: $6,949
🏛️ POLITICS#48,980$168Vol: $5,306
💰 FINANCE#469,634$-1Vol: $1,500
SPORTS#1,581,189$-47Vol: $1,330
📢 MENTIONS#117,572$-6Vol: $216

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-478
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$243,130
Total Redeem
$112
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2453
total markets
Trades
4874B / 701S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~191d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$-19
Vol: $960
Month
$-28
Vol: $1,230
All Time
$-478
Vol: $243,130

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
954W / 1492L events
Realized PnL
$-473
Win Rate
39%
954W / 1492L
Profit Factor
1x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $916 (1.935556775937817% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$374
Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?$352
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$190
Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?$177
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$173
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 17?$120
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in June?$113
Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?$88
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 7?$85
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 8?$80

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 27?$-129
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$-120
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 26?$-110
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-101
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-76
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-56
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11?$-53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$-50
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$-45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-44

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.001
Sortino
0.001
HHI
67
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
13.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.6
Active
Markets / Day
8.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.2m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 554s — normal for humanCV 3.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — very active8.6 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.3
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)59%
Mid (20-55c)23.8%
High (>55c)17.2%

Sessions

#12
6/9/2026, 6:47:27 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/7/2026, 6:56:32 PM8 trades$8752 min
7/29/2026, 6:00:06 PM8 trades$6740 min
6/27/2026, 8:44:25 AM13 trades$5710 min
7/23/2026, 1:05:31 PM25 trades$4780 min
5/7/2026, 5:46:53 PM5 trades$4210 min
7/29/2026, 3:10:30 PM2 trades$3330 min
5/10/2026, 8:46:39 PM3 trades$3000 min
7/8/2026, 2:00:10 AM4 trades$2770 min
7/24/2026, 10:30:04 AM12 trades$2450 min
7/14/2026, 12:30:05 PM40 trades$2360 min
7/16/2026, 12:50:07 AM34 trades$2040 min
7/22/2026, 6:00:18 AM21 trades$1800 min
5/11/2026, 9:14:05 AM2 trades$1700 min
7/30/2026, 9:00:17 AM6 trades$1700 min
8/4/2026, 2:00:05 PM4 trades$1590 min
1/4/2026, 4:34:39 PM6 trades$1253 min
5/7/2026, 8:48:20 AM3 trades$1200 min
4/27/2026, 4:28:42 PM4 trades$1101 min
12/12/2025, 8:17:35 PM61 trades$10257 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-25
11-24
12-24
02-28
04-25
06-07
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 54 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
14% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
12.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.3/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L59 / M23.8 / H17.2