@0x0615DE…7651

#2,868,64239

0x0615de742f321f7aa243c15f9427680bd3bd836f

~55d· 169 markets · 746 tradesVol: $46,1392026-08-05 17:24:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (56/144)4.4/20
1.09x (win $2,781 / loss $2,552)3.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4187.8/15
Sortino 1.13310/10
$+0.0223 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 472 (144 markets)10/10
16/41 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 85% of peak ($1,306 / $1,535)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,470,605$-53Vol: $24,984
⚽ SPORTS#1,790,702$-452Vol: $16,575
💻 TECH#236,841$-21Vol: $1,288
🎭 CULTURE#14,342$193Vol: $1,025
💰 FINANCE#632,490$-100Vol: $885
🌤️ WEATHER#184,152$-1Vol: $579
📈 ECONOMICS#657,545$-89Vol: $481
₿ CRYPTO#1,148,792$-10Vol: $59

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-573
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$46,139
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
169
total markets
Trades
294B / 452S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d

Periods

#2
Today
$20
Vol: $1,878
Week
$-0
Vol: $6,713
Month
$21
Vol: $6,713
All Time
$-573
Vol: $46,139

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
55W / 89L events
Realized PnL
$-573
Win Rate
38%
55W / 89L
Profit Factor
1.09x
Avg Win
$50
Avg Loss
$-35

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,227 (3.888768596773067% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,642
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$459
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$126
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$83
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season$59
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$36
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$31
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs$27
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$21

Top Losers

Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-280
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-276
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$-200
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-160
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-153
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-120
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$-100
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-100
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?$-100
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.022
Sortino
0.061
HHI
156
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.041
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.7%
Top-5 markets
20.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 159s — normal for humanCV 2.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity7 trades/day — normal1.6 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.36
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.9%
Mid (20-55c)33%
High (>55c)41.2%

Sessions

#12
8/4/2026, 11:01:39 AM17 trades$4,8054 min
6/26/2026, 10:18:10 AM14 trades$2,2913 min
7/12/2026, 1:13:49 PM32 trades$1,4016 min
4/26/2026, 12:59:12 PM33 trades$1,3118 min
8/3/2026, 4:08:45 PM7 trades$8031 min
5/13/2026, 12:35:29 PM3 trades$7860 min
6/10/2026, 11:40:48 AM7 trades$7771 min
5/13/2026, 9:22:00 PM19 trades$7366 min
5/15/2026, 7:22:58 PM5 trades$7070 min
5/3/2026, 1:34:12 PM12 trades$6161 min
5/10/2026, 12:02:53 PM19 trades$5479 min
5/15/2026, 3:13:13 PM8 trades$5390 min
5/1/2026, 12:23:48 PM10 trades$4762 min
5/4/2026, 9:06:32 PM4 trades$4050 min
5/1/2026, 3:02:00 PM6 trades$3933 min
5/4/2026, 11:13:06 PM9 trades$3912 min
4/27/2026, 8:08:26 PM6 trades$3793 min
6/7/2026, 11:37:28 PM13 trades$3405 min
6/17/2026, 1:35:43 AM2 trades$3330 min
5/15/2026, 9:27:29 PM4 trades$3200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-26
05-05
05-11
05-19
06-19
06-25
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 54 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.36/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.9 / M33 / H41.2