@Chappellr
#2,811,859350x062618e21b39ed155f1861268e614bc4b40fcfdb
~13d· 21 markets · 123 tradesVol: $24,8012026-08-04 23:28:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
71% (10/14)20/20
0.44x (win $511 / loss $1,158)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.5030/15
Sortino -4.5080/10
$-0.0700 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 877 (14 markets)8.1/10
5/9 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 302% of peak ($967 / $320)0/10
Badges
3Sniper
Win rate 71%
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#91,625$49Vol: $21,874
⚽ SPORTS#1,786,800$-422Vol: $2,927
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-373
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,801
Total Redeem
$324
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
75B / 48S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
71%
10W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-373
Win Rate
71%
10W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$51
Avg Loss
$-289
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $234 (0.6275681032866366% of PnL)
Top Winners
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$86
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$75
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $74
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$71
Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)$60
Spread: Odense BK (-2.5)$42
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$37
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?$35
Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)$25
Spread: Mazatlán FC (-2.5)$7
Top Losers
Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)$-941
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?$-103
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?$-95
Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)$-19
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.222
Sortino
-0.172
HHI
819
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.078
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.3%
Top-5 markets
54.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
53s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 53s — normal for humanCV 1.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.43
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)36%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)64%
Sessions
#125/13/2026, 6:41:20 AM3 trades$9794 min
5/11/2026, 8:58:30 AM3 trades$9763 min
5/19/2026, 9:20:10 AM3 trades$9764 min
4/21/2026, 11:15:54 AM4 trades$9100 min
7/13/2026, 7:12:23 AM12 trades$9081 min
7/7/2026, 3:17:13 AM8 trades$9001 min
7/7/2026, 6:26:53 AM6 trades$8950 min
7/13/2026, 9:13:02 AM4 trades$8900 min
6/25/2026, 9:27:02 AM6 trades$8002 min
6/25/2026, 8:10:46 AM7 trades$7751 min
4/12/2026, 7:46:31 AM4 trades$6450 min
4/11/2026, 7:29:23 AM8 trades$6172 min
6/20/2026, 7:47:20 AM4 trades$5501 min
6/21/2026, 5:12:41 AM4 trades$5500 min
5/11/2026, 8:11:06 AM2 trades$5000 min
5/19/2026, 8:08:09 AM2 trades$5000 min
6/16/2026, 6:13:33 AM6 trades$5000 min
5/13/2026, 6:12:50 AM2 trades$4950 min
5/15/2026, 6:53:46 AM2 trades$4950 min
5/15/2026, 6:05:00 AM2 trades$4850 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-11
04-12
04-21
05-11
05-13
05-15
05-19
06-16
06-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 39 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L36 / M0 / H64