@Tnothcote
#87,826530x063ed952ab84272904467c5a6add3b5be81048d3
~25d· 19 markets · 447 tradesVol: $190,2022026-08-05 17:25:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
29% (2/7)0/20
3.44x (win $4,362 / loss $1,270)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.17915/15
Sortino 32.30910/10
$+0.0641 per $1 invested3.2/10
HHI 3253 (7 markets)0/10
2/7 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 18% of peak ($671 / $3,764)10/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+1,398
Lottery Player
51% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 18%
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#1,569,286$-228Vol: $105,770
📈 ECONOMICS#2,682$1,238Vol: $81,770
⚽ SPORTS#1,449,061$-19Vol: $2,015
🎭 CULTURE#788,061$-121Vol: $639
💰 FINANCE#129,374$1Vol: $8
Overview
#1Net PnL
$871
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$190,202
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
65B / 382S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d
Periods
#2Today
$-266
Vol: $329
Week
$-763
Vol: $28,690
Month
$-1,295
Vol: $87,081
All Time
$871
Vol: $190,202
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
29%
2W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$1,398
Win Rate
29%
2W / 5L
Profit Factor
3.44x
Avg Win
$2,181
Avg Loss
$-254
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,362 (3.1213506783444958% of PnL)
Top Winners
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3,670
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$692
Top Losers
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?$-487
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?$-420
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?$-180
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?$-178
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?$-4
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.299
Sortino
2.241
HHI
1243
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.132
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
32.6%
Top-5 markets
48.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.5h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
38
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.8
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 211s — normal for humanCV 1.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity5 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
40.57
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)50.8%
Mid (20-55c)6.2%
High (>55c)43.1%
Sessions
#128/1/2026, 2:05:27 AM8 trades$58,3710 min
6/23/2026, 4:49:31 PM27 trades$15,1942 min
6/16/2026, 12:09:36 AM27 trades$14,1913 min
8/2/2026, 7:59:36 PM16 trades$12,9098 min
8/3/2026, 2:30:47 PM32 trades$8,9251 min
6/24/2026, 4:19:52 PM76 trades$8,9138 min
6/20/2026, 2:04:52 PM6 trades$8,3944 min
7/10/2026, 1:10:55 AM18 trades$4,5281 min
7/5/2026, 5:21:25 PM10 trades$4,3894 min
6/28/2026, 1:34:55 AM8 trades$4,0770 min
7/8/2026, 7:04:10 PM2 trades$3,6550 min
6/25/2026, 1:46:02 PM36 trades$3,2264 min
5/22/2026, 4:27:42 PM20 trades$2,9220 min
7/8/2026, 7:09:38 PM4 trades$2,2590 min
7/10/2026, 7:01:56 PM15 trades$2,1450 min
7/26/2026, 2:55:06 AM4 trades$1,9871 min
4/28/2026, 1:50:46 PM8 trades$1,7460 min
6/27/2026, 1:49:31 AM6 trades$1,1450 min
6/28/2026, 3:47:59 PM2 trades$1,1360 min
7/31/2026, 4:48:03 PM3 trades$1,0000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-25
06-28
06-29
07-05
07-10
07-13
07-14
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 9 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
85.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 40.57/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L50.8 / M6.2 / H43.1