Beardedyoda

@Beardedyoda

#229,33724

0x06423c0a61eeb1da31e5a2c36b82704970a68c68

~164d· 2038 markets · 3854 tradesVol: $134,6882026-08-04 19:59:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (951/2005)8.7/20
1.00x (win $18,271 / loss $18,299)2.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.0390/15
Sortino -0.0600/10
$-0.0009 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 11 (2005 markets)10/10
70/163 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 171% of peak ($938 / $548)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+109
Contrarian
65% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
SPORTS#108,666$126Vol: $111,926
🏛️ POLITICS#61,012$110Vol: $2,667
🎭 CULTURE#603,379$-3Vol: $679
📢 MENTIONS#7,086$77Vol: $356
📈 ECONOMICS#640,338$-34Vol: $324
💰 FINANCE#548,830$-5Vol: $106

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$109
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$134,688
Total Redeem
$13,883
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2038
total markets
Trades
2355B / 1499S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~164d

Periods

#2
Today
$-61
Vol: $150
Week
$7
Vol: $898
Month
$25
Vol: $1,416
All Time
$109
Vol: $134,688

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
951W / 1054L events
Realized PnL
$109
Win Rate
47%
951W / 1054L
Profit Factor
1x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-19

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $415 (3.8016309327469306% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$160
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$151
Credit One Charleston Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Caty McNally$104
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)$92
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers$85
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-31?$82
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage$77
Credit One Charleston Open: Shuai Zhang vs Yulia Starodubtseva$76
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?$73
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays$72

Top Losers

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds$-182
Valorant: YFP Gaming vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage$-131
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$-123
Credit One Charleston Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Oleksandra Oliynykova$-110
Naples: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Martineau$-103
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-04-14?$-91
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles$-81
Kings vs. Raptors$-80
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-22?$-77
Kings vs. Flames$-72

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.002
Sortino
-0.003
HHI
9
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
1.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.1
Active
Markets / Day
10.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.5

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 482s — normal for humanCV 0.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — high frequency11 markets/day — mass coverage42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.93
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.7%
Mid (20-55c)61.9%
High (>55c)35.4%

Sessions

#12
3/31/2026, 8:51:35 PM10 trades$6743 min
3/31/2026, 4:24:47 PM8 trades$4744 min
3/31/2026, 3:19:29 PM4 trades$3510 min
3/31/2026, 5:13:53 PM14 trades$3349 min
6/16/2026, 12:31:40 PM32 trades$3157 min
3/31/2026, 6:46:51 PM4 trades$2852 min
4/2/2026, 6:17:43 PM11 trades$2593 min
3/17/2026, 8:11:33 AM8 trades$25513 min
6/13/2026, 12:09:40 PM43 trades$2498 min
6/14/2026, 11:52:01 AM47 trades$23411 min
3/12/2026, 8:20:27 AM11 trades$23014 min
3/4/2026, 2:35:43 PM9 trades$2259 min
4/1/2026, 3:50:49 PM8 trades$2249 min
4/13/2026, 6:18:25 AM8 trades$2153 min
3/7/2026, 8:36:33 AM13 trades$2139 min
3/20/2026, 7:44:25 AM9 trades$2059 min
6/6/2026, 6:38:01 PM30 trades$19910 min
3/21/2026, 4:30:21 PM5 trades$1997 min
6/17/2026, 12:05:19 PM30 trades$18817 min
6/20/2026, 6:39:35 PM19 trades$1874 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-24
03-03
03-30
04-27
05-26
06-24
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 101 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.93/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L2.7 / M61.9 / H35.4