@Theformula

#2,992,43012

0x0684e98f96f1e73635e296edf3cfc6408eac87a3

~61d· 480 markets · 5600 tradesVol: $230,9542026-08-04 18:13:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (130/475)0/20
0.91x (win $30,344 / loss $33,504)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0020/15
Sortino -1.3840/10
$-0.0616 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 168 (475 markets)10/10
16/51 profitable days (31%)0.3/10
Max DD 319% of peak ($5,606 / $1,755)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
30% entries < $0.20
Whale
$51,306 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,803,312$-578Vol: $120,858
CRYPTO#1,621,379$-1,031Vol: $87,729
🏛️ POLITICS#1,577,936$-285Vol: $13,207
📈 ECONOMICS#644,940$-43Vol: $6,699
🎭 CULTURE#670,583$-8Vol: $2,462

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,944
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$230,954
Total Redeem
$534
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
480
total markets
Trades
1341B / 4259S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~61d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,944
Vol: $230,954

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
130W / 345L events
Realized PnL
$-1,944
Win Rate
27%
130W / 345L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$233
Avg Loss
$-102

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,986 (4.621721979644001% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,792
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$2,711
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$1,483
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1,260
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$1,256
Lakers vs. Rockets$1,247
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$993
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$966
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$858
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?$825

Top Losers

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?$-2,404
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-2,120
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$-2,120
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-1,480
Knicks vs. Spurs$-1,200
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-1,144
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-1,116
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?$-987
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$-940
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?$-885

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.052
Sortino
-0.066
HHI
136
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.054
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
15.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
58.9
Very active
Markets / Day
5.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.5m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
56.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 87s — normal for humanCV 2.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity59 trades/day — mass trading5.1 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.5
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.4%
Mid (20-55c)45%
High (>55c)24.6%

Sessions

#12
4/25/2026, 12:34:42 PM415 trades$7,805113 min
6/1/2026, 12:08:06 PM4 trades$5,0200 min
4/25/2026, 4:26:58 PM175 trades$4,31423 min
4/25/2026, 8:12:22 PM170 trades$3,39228 min
6/1/2026, 5:29:40 PM10 trades$3,2751 min
4/30/2026, 8:02:58 AM182 trades$3,14423 min
6/1/2026, 12:14:34 PM6 trades$3,0055 min
4/30/2026, 8:31:04 AM124 trades$2,93321 min
6/19/2026, 9:18:22 PM6 trades$2,9001 min
5/11/2026, 6:33:38 AM10 trades$2,8394 min
5/2/2026, 5:03:52 AM109 trades$2,55612 min
4/30/2026, 12:21:28 PM124 trades$2,45423 min
5/1/2026, 1:11:50 PM146 trades$2,35946 min
6/22/2026, 6:58:52 PM6 trades$2,2713 min
6/25/2026, 6:00:19 PM10 trades$2,2314 min
6/17/2026, 11:17:16 AM10 trades$2,1343 min
4/25/2026, 3:29:44 PM96 trades$2,09616 min
6/14/2026, 6:41:52 AM17 trades$2,0845 min
4/30/2026, 7:35:34 AM101 trades$2,07210 min
6/12/2026, 3:40:33 AM9 trades$2,0370 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-16
05-05
06-03
06-11
06-19
06-27
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 38 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
76.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.5/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L30.4 / M45 / H24.6