@natae

#1,584,9020

0x069862320fa8f31ea0d86bac8549be71ee269d5f

~12d· 11 markets · 21 tradesVol: $5,0782026-08-04 20:57:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

10% (1/10)0/20
0.03x (win $0 / loss $4)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -16.8350/15
Sortino -12.6660/10
$-0.2051 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3031 (10 markets)0/10
1/10 profitable days (10%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($4 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
77% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🎭 CULTURE#581,218$-2Vol: $2,000
📈 ECONOMICS#476,437$-1Vol: $1,000
💰 FINANCE#384,593$-0Vol: $940
🏛️ POLITICS#781,829$-0Vol: $633
₿ CRYPTO#853,548$-1Vol: $505

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,078
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
11
total markets
Trades
13B / 8S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-5
Vol: $5,078

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
10%
1W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-5
Win Rate
10%
1W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.03x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $0 (0.03296703296703297% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$0

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$-1
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?$-1
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$-1
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?$-1
Will Yūichirō Tamaki be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?$-0
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$-0
Will Pushpa Kamal Dahal (“Prachanda”) be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.836
Sortino
-0.898
HHI
3036
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.209
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
48.2%
Top-5 markets
87.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.2h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
13
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — normal for humanCV 1.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern10/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.7
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)76.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)23.1%

Sessions

#12
5/14/2026, 8:02:42 PM4 trades$100 min
6/7/2026, 11:09:30 PM2 trades$100 min
12/15/2025, 9:08:49 PM1 trades$10 min
12/18/2025, 11:24:23 PM1 trades$10 min
12/24/2025, 5:22:37 AM1 trades$10 min
12/26/2025, 3:36:03 PM1 trades$10 min
1/7/2026, 3:53:15 PM1 trades$10 min
12/24/2025, 7:42:17 PM1 trades$10 min
7/23/2026, 10:21:01 PM4 trades$10 min
2/12/2026, 8:41:01 PM1 trades$00 min
3/12/2026, 11:27:17 AM1 trades$00 min
4/3/2026, 8:39:41 AM2 trades$00 min
4/9/2026, 1:08:51 PM1 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-15
12-18
12-24
12-26
01-07
02-12
03-12
04-09
05-14
06-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.7/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L76.9 / M0 / H23.1