@cmungerback

#207,06489

0x071ec5ac0687dd996a1704311ab9067daf06c323

~39d· 49 markets · 177 tradesVol: $92,274 @mungerjapa150762026-08-04 19:58:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

92% (44/48)20/20
15046.19x (win $150 / loss $0)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 12.62715/15
Sortino 53375.21410/10
$+0.0024 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 767 (48 markets)8.7/10
28/29 profitable days (97%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($0 / $150)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 92%
Profitable
PnL $+134
Whale
$62,177 invested
Consistent
28/29 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 0%
Win Streak
18 wins in a row

Categories

3
CRYPTO#100,377$92Vol: $85,395
🏛️ POLITICS#99,888$40Vol: $6,064
💰 FINANCE#118,809$2Vol: $766

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$134
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$92,274
Total Redeem
$2,668
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
49
total markets
Trades
98B / 79S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$134
Vol: $92,274

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
92%
44W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$134
Win Rate
92%
44W / 4L
Profit Factor
15046x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $54 (0.4032077582991421% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 23?$28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 13?$16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 25?$10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 24?$9
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 23?$7
Trump out as President by March 31?$6
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 8?$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?$4

Top Losers

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.649
Sortino
inf
HHI
806
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
90.3%
Half-Kelly
45.1%
Top-1 market
21.2%
Top-5 markets
48.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 98s — normal for humanCV 1.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.9
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 5:22:40 PM2 trades$6,6050 min
6/23/2026, 12:25:31 PM3 trades$6,5530 min
6/23/2026, 9:00:31 AM11 trades$5,78220 min
6/25/2026, 5:22:02 PM8 trades$4,2951 min
6/23/2026, 9:11:10 PM3 trades$3,5911 min
6/26/2026, 8:02:14 PM1 trades$3,0600 min
6/24/2026, 8:30:50 PM1 trades$2,5930 min
3/9/2026, 6:58:49 AM2 trades$2,3211 min
3/8/2026, 5:53:37 AM1 trades$2,3170 min
3/13/2026, 6:38:51 PM2 trades$2,2311 min
3/11/2026, 5:47:05 AM1 trades$2,2170 min
3/5/2026, 6:57:07 AM2 trades$2,0092 min
6/30/2026, 4:31:10 PM2 trades$2,0010 min
6/24/2026, 4:55:02 PM4 trades$2,0001 min
6/29/2026, 4:19:53 PM24 trades$1,9453 min
2/26/2026, 2:26:34 PM1 trades$1,6000 min
6/23/2026, 4:32:43 PM6 trades$1,5692 min
6/21/2026, 7:06:46 AM3 trades$1,4880 min
6/21/2026, 6:09:56 PM1 trades$1,4880 min
6/24/2026, 4:34:53 PM11 trades$1,0051 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-24
03-02
03-11
03-24
04-18
06-23
06-28
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100