@thunderquack
#117,580850x07fd560b73806637ba2474d651f66cdfc796ad26
~310d· 537 markets · 1360 tradesVol: $25,5602026-08-05 00:13:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
74% (353/480)20/20
1.55x (win $1,100 / loss $711)9.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.35615/15
Sortino 3.35310/10
$+0.0518 per $1 invested2.6/10
HHI 151 (480 markets)10/10
161/222 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 29% of peak ($124 / $426)8.2/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 74%
Profitable
PnL $+485
Consistent
161/222 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 29%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#24,992$580Vol: $20,499
🎭 CULTURE#765,521$-57Vol: $1,730
⚽ SPORTS#1,534,545$-33Vol: $1,581
💻 TECH#219,952$-6Vol: $762
📈 ECONOMICS#48,214$8Vol: $373
₿ CRYPTO#968,290$-3Vol: $250
💰 FINANCE#62,938$7Vol: $152
🌤️ WEATHER#176,825$-0Vol: $117
📢 MENTIONS#134,267$-13Vol: $47
Overview
#1Net PnL
$485
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,560
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
537
total markets
Trades
858B / 502S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~310d
Periods
#2Today
$4
Vol: $30
Week
$6
Vol: $343
Month
$-10
Vol: $429
All Time
$485
Vol: $25,560
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
74%
353W / 127L events
Realized PnL
$485
Win Rate
74%
353W / 127L
Profit Factor
1.55x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-6
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $181 (0.37221615608067743% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$68
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?$63
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?$49
Will Russia capture Udachne before August?$38
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?$37
Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?$31
Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?$27
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by November 30?$25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$21
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$21
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-88
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?$-35
Germany confidence vote in 2024?$-29
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?$-26
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?$-22
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?$-20
Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?$-20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-20
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-20
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.123
Sortino
0.104
HHI
59
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.059
Kelly %
14.2%
Half-Kelly
7.1%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
10.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 336s — normal for humanCV 1.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.46
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)9%
Mid (20-55c)12.6%
High (>55c)78.4%
Sessions
#126/17/2026, 5:30:58 PM32 trades$85510 min
6/20/2026, 10:14:25 AM12 trades$2564 min
7/1/2026, 12:01:55 PM26 trades$23517 min
7/2/2026, 9:56:22 AM13 trades$1961 min
12/28/2024, 6:00:36 AM1 trades$1880 min
8/2/2026, 3:25:14 PM20 trades$1649 min
6/28/2026, 10:52:08 PM1 trades$1580 min
4/9/2025, 8:50:01 AM4 trades$1471 min
1/30/2026, 2:38:36 PM1 trades$1380 min
6/21/2026, 3:29:32 PM12 trades$1298 min
1/2/2025, 10:14:04 AM6 trades$1203 min
11/1/2025, 7:02:15 AM8 trades$11715 min
11/8/2024, 12:43:29 PM3 trades$1074 min
1/5/2026, 1:32:25 PM2 trades$1013 min
11/8/2024, 2:55:11 AM1 trades$1000 min
12/29/2024, 10:51:58 PM5 trades$1004 min
5/30/2025, 8:40:46 AM2 trades$981 min
5/22/2025, 10:23:35 AM2 trades$961 min
7/21/2026, 10:34:19 AM7 trades$942 min
7/24/2026, 5:38:58 PM11 trades$875 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-08
03-04
07-19
10-07
12-13
02-06
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 134 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9 / M12.6 / H78.4