FredericChopin

@FredericChopin

#3,063,35149

0x08005e9dc4d8b989465b3a4d8a7a82564e63ceb0

~99d· 1508 markets · 7966 tradesVol: $1,036,5342026-08-05 16:34:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (536/1422)3.8/20
1.13x (win $79,447 / loss $70,378)4.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.86115/15
Sortino 1.85710/10
$+0.0363 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 83 (1422 markets)10/10
38/92 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 61% of peak ($12,898 / $21,182)1.8/10

Badges

7
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
3% sells
Whale
$249,970 invested
High Roller
$2,232/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
98% maker orders

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#811,939$-1,189Vol: $482,350
SPORTS#1,872,739$-5,073Vol: $208,678
🏛️ POLITICS#1,607,124$-675Vol: $148,497
CRYPTO#1,574,453$-354Vol: $18,270
🌤️ WEATHER#293,705$-316Vol: $17,701
💰 FINANCE#18,560$96Vol: $16,547
📈 ECONOMICS#666,699$-163Vol: $12,294
💻 TECH#222,665$-7Vol: $4,625
📢 MENTIONS#31,422$3Vol: $2,270

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-12,450
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,036,534
Total Redeem
$1,451
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1508
total markets
Trades
7725B / 241S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~99d

Periods

#2
Today
$-86
Vol: $1,512
Week
$-461
Vol: $11,825
Month
$-18
Vol: $28,176
All Time
$-12,450
Vol: $1,036,534

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
536W / 885L events
Realized PnL
$-12,450
Win Rate
38%
536W / 885L
Profit Factor
1.13x
Avg Win
$148
Avg Loss
$-81

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,257 (1.6270586902934634% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$13,204
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,565
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$2,488
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$2,457
Spread: Spain (-1.5)$2,098
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1,550
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$1,336
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1,204
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5$1,122
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$1,071

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,664
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-2,091
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-2,068
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$-1,882
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-1,811
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-1,296
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-1,228
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-1,200
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-1,081
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$-1,071

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.045
Sortino
0.086
HHI
99
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.034
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
14.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
71.1
Very active
Markets / Day
13.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
19.4m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
16 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.8

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 135s — normal for humanCV 1.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock71 trades/day — mass trading13 markets/day — mass coverage98% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.64
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.5%
Mid (20-55c)31.4%
High (>55c)45.2%

Sessions

#12
5/14/2026, 11:35:19 AM11 trades$3,3516 min
6/17/2026, 3:05:06 AM115 trades$3,12751 min
5/14/2026, 6:00:50 AM9 trades$2,4303 min
4/22/2026, 6:46:44 AM61 trades$2,17726 min
6/17/2026, 6:54:02 PM22 trades$2,12020 min
5/4/2026, 2:52:12 AM7 trades$2,1000 min
6/18/2026, 8:01:25 PM64 trades$2,05065 min
6/17/2026, 12:24:40 AM16 trades$1,96833 min
6/18/2026, 1:46:44 PM11 trades$1,63116 min
6/15/2026, 5:10:42 PM122 trades$1,60681 min
5/6/2026, 10:58:30 AM4 trades$1,6000 min
6/17/2026, 4:53:13 PM14 trades$1,49620 min
5/19/2026, 2:41:03 PM2 trades$1,4110 min
6/18/2026, 2:17:05 PM3 trades$1,3992 min
6/17/2026, 8:34:37 AM60 trades$1,37364 min
5/5/2026, 4:39:46 PM43 trades$1,2909 min
5/4/2026, 4:13:16 PM3 trades$1,2660 min
6/17/2026, 9:52:05 PM18 trades$1,26421 min
5/14/2026, 11:46:51 AM5 trades$1,2324 min
5/5/2026, 3:57:56 PM12 trades$1,14012 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-16
05-08
05-29
06-13
06-28
07-13
08-04
08-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.5 / M31.4 / H45.2