@0x08153D…1391

#2,213,53322

0x08153d0a577b8d06bdd8eea366669ea4eb6bcf3c

~27d· 99 markets · 517 tradesVol: $10,1442026-08-04 19:06:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (20/42)8.8/20
0.54x (win $344 / loss $639)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.7110/15
Sortino -7.5280/10
$-0.0893 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 333 (42 markets)10/10
9/21 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 1075% of peak ($352 / $33)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,405,743$-26Vol: $7,439
SPORTS#1,158,070$-4Vol: $1,790
📈 ECONOMICS#442,304$-1Vol: $245

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-31
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,144
Total Redeem
$1
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
99
total markets
Trades
334B / 183S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-31
Vol: $10,144

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
20W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-31
Win Rate
48%
20W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.54x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $182 (5.948919449901768% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)$127
Will the median home value in the US be less than $429,000 on June 30?$31
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?$24
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026?$18
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$18
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$16
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$15
Will JD Vance attend NATO Summit?$14
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 0 Jordan?$12
Will Russia enter Stavky by June 30?$11

Top Losers

Joventut vs. Valencia: O/U 177.5$-105
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by September 30?$-92
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026?$-51
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?$-49
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in July?$-43
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$-38
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?$-29
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-27
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$-27
Set 1 Winner: Jovic vs Anisimova$-23

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.343
Sortino
-0.633
HHI
63
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.224
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
13.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.3
Active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 147s — normal for humanCV 0.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active2.4 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.64
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.4%
Mid (20-55c)10.2%
High (>55c)72.5%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 9:01:42 AM8 trades$1052 min
7/15/2026, 1:53:32 AM3 trades$1051 min
6/13/2026, 6:17:57 PM7 trades$884 min
7/11/2026, 11:28:31 AM5 trades$871 min
6/9/2026, 10:50:43 PM12 trades$848 min
7/13/2026, 4:26:44 AM7 trades$801 min
6/12/2026, 8:34:25 PM3 trades$761 min
6/26/2026, 3:39:52 PM11 trades$693 min
7/18/2026, 10:51:51 AM5 trades$654 min
6/21/2026, 11:58:31 PM11 trades$648 min
6/9/2026, 11:15:51 PM5 trades$641 min
6/9/2026, 9:01:54 PM5 trades$632 min
7/15/2026, 1:43:38 AM7 trades$632 min
7/9/2026, 12:33:22 AM7 trades$601 min
6/20/2026, 7:51:14 AM3 trades$572 min
7/12/2026, 4:32:56 PM3 trades$572 min
6/13/2026, 11:16:12 PM7 trades$574 min
6/21/2026, 7:11:52 PM7 trades$571 min
7/19/2026, 4:23:10 PM7 trades$573 min
6/22/2026, 4:02:25 AM3 trades$562 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-09
06-12
06-19
06-22
06-29
07-10
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 35 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.4 / M10.2 / H72.5