stormapex

@stormapex

#2,775,31621

0x081fc8c361ba4bc39893ea3104e90ce2f71cbf8f

~84d· 300 markets · 1553 tradesVol: $26,2852026-08-04 22:39:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (101/281)3/20
0.97x (win $1,765 / loss $1,820)2.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1330/15
Sortino -0.1790/10
$-0.0086 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 282 (281 markets)10/10
32/61 profitable days (52%)5.6/10
Max DD 113% of peak ($611 / $539)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,485,915$-63Vol: $12,660
🌤️ WEATHER#291,996$-237Vol: $11,017
SPORTS#261,173$13Vol: $1,596
💰 FINANCE#476,961$-1Vol: $460
📈 ECONOMICS#564,243$-5Vol: $404
💻 TECH#23,167$6Vol: $61
CRYPTO#1,022,354$-4Vol: $48

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-292
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,285
Total Redeem
$11
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
300
total markets
Trades
786B / 767S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~84d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$4
Vol: $0
All Time
$-292
Vol: $26,285

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
101W / 179L events
Realized PnL
$-292
Win Rate
36%
101W / 179L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,004 (3.4408185651115755% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$567
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$346
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$91
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$86
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$51
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 20?$42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 15?$25

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?$-469
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-463
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-240
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?$-56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$-36
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-32
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?$-24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30?$-16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$-16

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.007
Sortino
-0.006
HHI
520
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.007
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.2%
Top-5 markets
41.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.1
Active
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 752s — normal for humanCV 2.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active2.7 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.51
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16%
Mid (20-55c)22.4%
High (>55c)61.6%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 3:04:57 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/16/2026, 4:34:42 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/17/2026, 1:31:43 AM6 trades$8332 min
6/21/2026, 10:23:52 AM4 trades$7860 min
6/18/2026, 12:50:26 AM8 trades$5682 min
6/8/2026, 6:28:27 AM2 trades$5000 min
6/13/2026, 5:40:12 PM18 trades$4527 min
6/21/2026, 2:46:34 PM2 trades$3490 min
6/23/2026, 11:46:29 PM3 trades$3460 min
5/18/2026, 3:14:29 AM5 trades$2982 min
6/17/2026, 9:12:13 AM13 trades$2500 min
4/22/2026, 7:16:16 AM2 trades$2030 min
4/14/2026, 8:16:55 AM2 trades$2000 min
5/8/2026, 7:59:19 PM2 trades$2000 min
4/16/2026, 3:04:38 PM2 trades$1970 min
4/16/2026, 11:45:30 PM3 trades$1920 min
6/30/2026, 6:40:50 AM5 trades$1696 min
5/12/2026, 11:58:02 AM10 trades$1605 min
5/9/2026, 6:46:49 PM2 trades$1440 min
6/18/2026, 12:39:32 AM15 trades$1292 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-16
05-09
05-23
06-05
06-15
06-27
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
36% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.51/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16 / M22.4 / H61.6