Moroccowinner

@Moroccowinner

#2,957,35911

0x08be8b8dbcced2eb5addc304518e40df033a3eb1

~24d· 22 markets · 248 tradesVol: $147,9082026-08-04 21:13:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (11/22)10/20
0.67x (win $806 / loss $1,204)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8060/15
Sortino -3.3960/10
$-0.0683 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4270 (22 markets)0/10
4/12 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 219% of peak ($808 / $369)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 17.5 entries/market

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,841,232$-1,296Vol: $146,834
🌤️ WEATHER#250,269$-12Vol: $833
CRYPTO#1,050,999$-5Vol: $185
🏛️ POLITICS#985,214$-2Vol: $9

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,316
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$147,908
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
22
total markets
Trades
69B / 179S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,316
Vol: $147,908

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
11W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-1,316
Win Rate
50%
11W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$73
Avg Loss
$-120

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $706 (0.5364180034499266% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Australia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$374
Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$238
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$94
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$57
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$37
NBA Summer League: Denver Nuggets vs. Houston Rockets$2
New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo$1
Criollos de Caguas vs. Cangrejeros de Santurce$1
Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun$1
Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo$1

Top Losers

Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$-561
Will France be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$-288
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-193
Ebola case in the US by June 30?$-94
Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$-2
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$-2
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.141
Sortino
-0.174
HHI
9222
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.047
Kelly %
20.3%
Half-Kelly
10.1%
Top-1 market
93.3%
Top-5 markets
134.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.9

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1038s — normal for humanCV 1.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.55
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.6%
Mid (20-55c)7.2%
High (>55c)52.2%

Sessions

#12
7/4/2026, 7:09:52 PM8 trades$2,2332 min
7/9/2026, 9:27:14 PM8 trades$2,2220 min
6/30/2026, 12:10:07 PM2 trades$1,5950 min
6/21/2026, 9:30:16 AM22 trades$1,0390 min
6/8/2026, 12:32:55 AM35 trades$1,0025 min
7/3/2026, 8:53:28 PM2 trades$9990 min
6/7/2026, 2:12:15 PM22 trades$8980 min
7/7/2026, 6:08:40 PM2 trades$6110 min
6/5/2026, 12:50:40 AM3 trades$6020 min
6/4/2026, 11:45:19 PM2 trades$5810 min
7/3/2026, 5:19:20 PM11 trades$5040 min
6/7/2026, 11:31:19 PM21 trades$4780 min
6/28/2026, 9:36:07 PM3 trades$4150 min
6/11/2026, 7:13:57 AM6 trades$3960 min
7/4/2026, 4:31:23 PM2 trades$3650 min
6/22/2026, 7:03:49 PM2 trades$2930 min
6/23/2026, 11:59:53 PM2 trades$2840 min
6/21/2026, 12:11:22 AM2 trades$2510 min
6/11/2026, 4:56:48 PM7 trades$2455 min
7/4/2026, 7:22:55 PM3 trades$2420 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-08
06-11
07-03
07-05
07-08
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
72.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.55/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.6 / M7.2 / H52.2