lumina25

@lumina25

#2,797,24229

0x0926478dd52b84ea0eef3fcc2875b7c79e613903

~24d· 143 markets · 624 tradesVol: $6,8012026-08-04 23:40:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (86/141)15.5/20
0.68x (win $780 / loss $1,153)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.8180/15
Sortino -6.6460/10
$-0.1435 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 263 (141 markets)10/10
10/23 profitable days (43%)3.4/10
Max DD 1871% of peak ($393 / $21)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
SPORTS#1,772,159$-320Vol: $6,158
CRYPTO#847,326$-1Vol: $188
💰 FINANCE#498,200$-2Vol: $130
🏛️ POLITICS#765,303$-0Vol: $93
🎭 CULTURE#443,934$-0Vol: $60
📈 ECONOMICS#375,626$-0Vol: $30
💻 TECH#145,151$-0Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-334
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,801
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
143
total markets
Trades
295B / 329S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-334
Vol: $6,801

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
86W / 55L events
Realized PnL
$-334
Win Rate
61%
86W / 55L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-24

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $257 (0.7706405534093973% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-07-12?$149
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$66
Fortaleza EC vs. SC Recife: O/U 1.5$42
EC Juventude vs. Ceará SC: O/U 1.5$32
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)$30
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Victory Song Gamers vs Alpha7 (BO1) - Mid Season Cup Wildcard Group A$24
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$23
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)$19
Colombia to win the second half?$19
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$19

Top Losers

Will Portland Thorns FC win on 2026-07-12?$-326
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)$-98
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5$-90
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-60
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)$-54
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$-40
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)$-34
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5$-32
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-05?$-28
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5$-26

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.349
Sortino
-0.330
HHI
236
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.143
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.9%
Top-5 markets
26.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.1
Active
Markets / Day
5.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
21.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1267s — normal for humanCV 1.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency5.3 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.45
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)20.3%
High (>55c)78.6%

Sessions

#12
7/12/2026, 4:23:46 PM4 trades$3500 min
7/2/2026, 8:25:08 PM4 trades$2885 min
6/27/2026, 6:48:02 AM4 trades$2671 min
7/12/2026, 4:01:28 PM2 trades$2560 min
6/28/2026, 7:51:22 PM5 trades$1532 min
6/26/2026, 12:02:44 PM7 trades$1493 min
7/12/2026, 2:06:11 PM4 trades$1270 min
6/19/2026, 5:42:55 AM33 trades$1153 min
6/28/2026, 10:15:31 PM2 trades$1060 min
6/26/2026, 11:49:38 AM2 trades$900 min
7/9/2026, 6:16:26 PM2 trades$890 min
6/28/2026, 3:32:43 AM5 trades$740 min
6/28/2026, 10:21:16 AM4 trades$700 min
6/25/2026, 6:17:50 AM6 trades$654 min
6/21/2026, 9:15:41 AM14 trades$620 min
6/27/2026, 10:27:22 PM6 trades$582 min
6/22/2026, 12:08:56 AM17 trades$556 min
6/26/2026, 11:56:17 AM2 trades$520 min
6/27/2026, 1:01:11 AM8 trades$516 min
7/5/2026, 5:35:02 AM10 trades$498 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
06-19
06-22
06-25
06-28
07-03
07-06
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 26 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1 / M20.3 / H78.6