@Downf

#382,22430

0x09ecc0582ff6fd0d75332d6769d23a660cc8e177

~15d· 23 markets · 107 tradesVol: $28,1712026-08-05 02:23:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (12/21)13.6/20
0.56x (win $396 / loss $706)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3340/15
Sortino -4.5760/10
$-0.0369 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 647 (21 markets)9.3/10
8/14 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 207% of peak ($601 / $291)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+27
Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#91,480$49Vol: $21,736
⚽ SPORTS#1,475,191$-21Vol: $6,435

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$27
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,171
Total Redeem
$685
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
65B / 42S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Week
$14
Vol: $3,680
Month
$14
Vol: $3,680
All Time
$27
Vol: $28,171

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
12W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$27
Win Rate
57%
12W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.56x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-78

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $177 (6.474433893352812% of PnL)

Top Winners

Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5$70
Spread: FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-1.5)$66
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?$42
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$37
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$35
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$33
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?$33
Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)$29
Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)$18
Spread: Smouha SC (-1.5)$15

Top Losers

Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?$-288
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31?$-132
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$-111
Spread: Gaziantep FK (-1.5)$-47
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?$-45
Spread: ENPPI (-1.5)$-36
Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)$-25
Spread: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-1.5)$-20
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.219
Sortino
-0.222
HHI
687
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.040
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.8%
Top-5 markets
49.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
60%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 103s — normal for humanCV 1.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)60% night trades — never sleeps8/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.43
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)43.1%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)56.9%

Sessions

#12
8/4/2026, 5:35:11 AM3 trades$9300 min
7/2/2026, 7:19:34 AM4 trades$9300 min
5/9/2026, 4:50:19 AM20 trades$9203 min
4/27/2026, 6:41:54 AM4 trades$9071 min
7/17/2026, 6:33:51 AM6 trades$8722 min
4/15/2026, 8:16:08 AM2 trades$7670 min
4/12/2026, 5:17:29 AM4 trades$6612 min
6/18/2026, 5:42:23 AM4 trades$6300 min
5/8/2026, 8:52:06 AM2 trades$4700 min
5/6/2026, 8:25:42 AM2 trades$4700 min
5/6/2026, 7:25:22 AM2 trades$4650 min
5/7/2026, 2:52:31 AM2 trades$4600 min
5/7/2026, 4:48:49 AM2 trades$4580 min
5/6/2026, 8:14:24 AM1 trades$4540 min
5/7/2026, 4:38:57 AM1 trades$4490 min
4/13/2026, 5:24:17 AM6 trades$4244 min
5/5/2026, 2:50:00 AM2 trades$4200 min
5/5/2026, 4:46:18 AM2 trades$4160 min
5/5/2026, 3:23:16 AM1 trades$4060 min
4/15/2026, 8:22:38 AM2 trades$3890 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-11
04-13
04-15
05-05
05-07
05-09
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 70 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.43/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.1 / M0 / H56.9