@0x0B70C2…0603

#2,985,5900

0x0b70c2224df8d170185f6de4b1f2b9dc7b41209d

~21d· 22 markets · 206 tradesVol: $244,4032026-08-03 20:02:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

16% (3/19)0/20
0.14x (win $2,465 / loss $18,207)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.6590/15
Sortino -7.9950/10
$-0.4628 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4504 (19 markets)0/10
3/13 profitable days (23%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($15,743 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,606,332$-681Vol: $227,055
SPORTS#1,827,339$-1,015Vol: $16,175
CRYPTO#1,495,503$-125Vol: $1,174

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,821
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$244,403
Total Redeem
$3,368
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
22
total markets
Trades
46B / 160S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$40
Vol: $0
Week
$40
Vol: $6,310
Month
$450
Vol: $13,049
All Time
$-1,821
Vol: $244,403

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
16%
3W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-1,852
Win Rate
16%
3W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.14x
Avg Win
$822
Avg Loss
$-1,138

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,465 (1.330998768818714% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1,600
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$630
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$234

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-9,235
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-4,400
Israel closes its airspace by June 12?$-1,273
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$-792
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$-765
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$-500
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$-270
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?$-200
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-167
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$-163

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.435
Sortino
-0.417
HHI
2428
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.530
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
45.3%
Top-5 markets
76.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
31
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 858s — normal for humanCV 1.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal8% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.84
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37%
Mid (20-55c)58.7%
High (>55c)4.3%

Sessions

#12
5/23/2026, 4:20:45 PM14 trades$15,2430 min
5/18/2026, 8:09:30 AM3 trades$10,6000 min
4/18/2026, 5:24:14 PM7 trades$9,3320 min
4/12/2026, 4:39:41 AM19 trades$7,8221 min
4/24/2026, 4:45:44 PM8 trades$5,1000 min
8/1/2026, 12:08:09 PM21 trades$4,9250 min
4/21/2026, 12:44:32 PM8 trades$4,7670 min
8/2/2026, 6:38:05 PM37 trades$4,2470 min
3/8/2026, 5:35:13 PM1 trades$3,7880 min
3/5/2026, 11:41:05 PM1 trades$2,5550 min
8/1/2026, 6:22:32 PM9 trades$1,7530 min
4/8/2026, 3:13:45 PM16 trades$1,7272 min
6/10/2026, 9:19:09 PM28 trades$1,6350 min
3/23/2026, 11:14:37 AM1 trades$1,6000 min
3/5/2026, 8:54:31 PM1 trades$1,5850 min
3/5/2026, 9:04:45 PM1 trades$1,5000 min
8/2/2026, 9:56:29 PM9 trades$1,3360 min
3/1/2026, 4:59:17 AM1 trades$9500 min
2/21/2026, 11:04:42 AM2 trades$9235 min
3/8/2026, 5:47:41 PM1 trades$8000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-21
02-27
03-05
03-17
04-08
04-21
06-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
77.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.84/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L37 / M58.7 / H4.3