@joelamitch

#2,862,7239

0x0a0818e69885f9fa87cb402297d5aa02a93108b7

~25d· 65 markets · 159 tradesVol: $12,4022026-08-04 21:44:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

20% (13/65)0/20
0.56x (win $606 / loss $1,085)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.0540/15
Sortino -5.9150/10
$-0.3962 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 669 (65 markets)9.2/10
3/24 profitable days (12%)0/10
Max DD 2478% of peak ($853 / $34)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
81% entries < $0.55

Categories

4
⚽ SPORTS#1,799,352$-518Vol: $11,906
₿ CRYPTO#1,106,208$-8Vol: $331
🏛️ POLITICS#1,369,511$-19Vol: $83
💰 FINANCE#554,739$-6Vol: $82

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-552
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,402
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
65
total markets
Trades
83B / 76S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
20%
13W / 52L events
Realized PnL
$-552
Win Rate
20%
13W / 52L
Profit Factor
0.56x
Avg Win
$47
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $427 (0.7733940130183309% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$313
Harry Kane: 1+ goals$64
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals$50
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$47
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$35
Spread: Portugal (-4.5)$30
Cucurella: 1+ shots$26
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score$13
Spread: Germany (-2.5)$12

Top Losers

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-80
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-75
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$-60
Spread: Spain (-5.5)$-50
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score$-50
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)$-50
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)$-50
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score$-50
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5$-50
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 4.5 Corners$-46

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.208
Sortino
-0.362
HHI
973
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.304
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22%
Top-5 markets
54.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
48
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 285s — normal for humanCV 0.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.05
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.9%
Mid (20-55c)57.8%
High (>55c)19.3%

Sessions

#12
7/12/2026, 1:03:40 PM14 trades$6512 min
6/21/2026, 5:38:50 PM14 trades$3027 min
6/17/2026, 1:22:32 PM14 trades$29012 min
6/14/2026, 10:06:19 PM6 trades$1311 min
7/15/2026, 10:07:05 PM2 trades$1060 min
7/18/2026, 11:09:04 PM2 trades$1060 min
6/21/2026, 3:35:10 PM4 trades$1010 min
6/14/2026, 12:11:43 AM4 trades$921 min
6/13/2026, 10:34:58 PM4 trades$705 min
6/21/2026, 7:31:08 PM4 trades$652 min
6/26/2026, 6:00:07 PM2 trades$550 min
6/21/2026, 4:26:05 PM3 trades$540 min
6/19/2026, 6:36:01 PM2 trades$530 min
6/22/2026, 4:37:05 PM2 trades$530 min
7/15/2026, 5:23:10 PM3 trades$520 min
7/1/2026, 6:06:20 PM2 trades$480 min
7/10/2026, 12:56:59 PM2 trades$420 min
6/14/2026, 10:31:28 AM4 trades$412 min
6/21/2026, 7:25:38 PM2 trades$400 min
7/5/2026, 11:13:32 PM1 trades$390 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-22
06-12
06-17
06-22
06-30
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 31 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.05/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L22.9 / M57.8 / H19.3