@cranechen
#2,915,317340x0b5dc08493eeeec0c6159d380a13bc8be15bb99a
~147d· 1411 markets · 2777 tradesVol: $52,6602026-08-04 19:57:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
74% (1040/1409)20/20
0.80x (win $4,789 / loss $5,973)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3540/15
Sortino -4.9560/10
$-0.0365 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 12 (1409 markets)10/10
64/143 profitable days (45%)3.7/10
Max DD 2960% of peak ($1,226 / $41)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 74%
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders
Categories
9₿ CRYPTO#1,561,065$-288Vol: $41,636
⚽ SPORTS#1,783,522$-383Vol: $7,740
🎭 CULTURE#776,259$-85Vol: $1,727
🏛️ POLITICS#1,504,600$-84Vol: $777
💰 FINANCE#626,417$-73Vol: $428
📢 MENTIONS#16,232$16Vol: $155
📈 ECONOMICS#530,395$-2Vol: $114
🌤️ WEATHER#179,101$-1Vol: $38
💻 TECH#231,629$-15Vol: $25
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-913
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$52,660
Total Redeem
$128
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1411
total markets
Trades
2400B / 377S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~147d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $721
Month
$5
Vol: $1,275
All Time
$-913
Vol: $52,660
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
74%
1040W / 369L events
Realized PnL
$-913
Win Rate
74%
1040W / 369L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-16
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $114 (0.12525188365165588% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$68
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$46
Top Losers
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10AM ET$-133
Spread: Spain (-2.5)$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 9AM ET$-86
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 8PM ET$-81
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 4AM ET$-70
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$-65
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$-58
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2AM ET$-56
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$-49
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.227
Sortino
-0.270
HHI
12
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.036
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.6%
Top-5 markets
2.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
10.6
Active
Markets / Day
5.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.4
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 530s — normal for humanCV 0.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active5.4 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 2:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.98
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)2%
Mid (20-55c)26.6%
High (>55c)71.4%
Sessions
#122/13/2026, 7:21:37 AM72 trades$58365 min
2/13/2026, 6:00:57 AM28 trades$30636 min
2/17/2026, 12:21:21 PM24 trades$27031 min
2/20/2026, 6:13:04 PM21 trades$20713 min
1/20/2026, 4:44:04 PM2 trades$1940 min
2/13/2026, 6:42:49 AM18 trades$17414 min
1/21/2026, 3:18:00 PM6 trades$1473 min
1/22/2026, 2:50:18 AM3 trades$1365 min
2/13/2026, 5:20:13 AM12 trades$13617 min
1/20/2026, 4:42:04 AM6 trades$1182 min
1/20/2026, 2:53:30 AM3 trades$1184 min
2/13/2026, 3:25:49 AM12 trades$11417 min
2/5/2026, 1:26:57 AM3 trades$1113 min
2/14/2026, 9:16:19 AM9 trades$11011 min
2/23/2026, 4:57:58 PM5 trades$1078 min
1/21/2026, 10:50:12 AM3 trades$1060 min
2/20/2026, 9:32:20 PM11 trades$1065 min
11/21/2025, 7:58:39 AM1 trades$1050 min
2/13/2026, 8:35:47 AM9 trades$1039 min
2/20/2026, 8:20:12 PM8 trades$1036 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-15
12-12
01-07
01-30
02-23
03-24
06-26
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 224 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.98/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2 / M26.6 / H71.4