@larystate

#3,019,57331

0x0bcf614f046d9d5565746d683918adc4d39404fc

~135d· 480 markets · 1912 tradesVol: $241,5982026-08-04 18:03:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (294/477)15.8/20
0.76x (win $15,905 / loss $20,879)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8780/15
Sortino -2.1260/10
$-0.0733 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 95 (477 markets)10/10
63/124 profitable days (51%)5.2/10
Max DD 471% of peak ($7,500 / $1,591)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Whale
$67,851 invested
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#1,636,888$-71Vol: $96,403
🎭 CULTURE#813,969$-2,189Vol: $68,483
₿ CRYPTO#1,605,539$-717Vol: $56,706
🏛️ POLITICS#1,531,433$-113Vol: $3,118
📈 ECONOMICS#597,241$-10Vol: $1,000
💰 FINANCE#539,315$-5Vol: $550
📢 MENTIONS#12,237$29Vol: $307

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,819
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$241,598
Total Redeem
$119
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
480
total markets
Trades
999B / 913S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~135d

Periods

#2
Today
$-4
Vol: $0
Week
$-123
Vol: $2,130
Month
$-184
Vol: $3,920
All Time
$-2,819
Vol: $241,598

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
294W / 183L events
Realized PnL
$-2,819
Win Rate
62%
294W / 183L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$54
Avg Loss
$-124

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,456 (0.8711566565927441% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1,224
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$648
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)$584
Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$540
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?$492
Iran vs. Syria$412
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$390
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?$353
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$296
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score$277

Top Losers

Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,590
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-1,584
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$-1,315
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-1,200
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?$-1,072
Spread: Spain (-1.5)$-868
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5$-804
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?$-765
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$-654
Spread: England (-1.5)$-602

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.098
Sortino
-0.086
HHI
109
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.067
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
12.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 554s — normal for humanCV 1.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — very active2.5 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.17
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.2%
Mid (20-55c)17.8%
High (>55c)61%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 9:25:46 AM41 trades$3,4613 min
3/19/2026, 10:40:57 AM36 trades$2,76650 min
6/14/2026, 4:19:30 AM6 trades$2,4252 min
6/13/2026, 8:58:10 PM2 trades$1,5500 min
6/22/2026, 7:05:08 PM4 trades$1,3301 min
6/14/2026, 7:31:57 PM4 trades$1,3214 min
6/14/2026, 9:00:22 AM4 trades$1,2864 min
6/20/2026, 1:38:07 PM2 trades$1,2270 min
6/23/2026, 12:14:08 AM2 trades$1,1990 min
6/12/2026, 8:58:12 PM4 trades$1,1731 min
3/19/2026, 7:25:43 PM17 trades$1,14221 min
6/8/2026, 7:57:58 PM2 trades$1,1100 min
6/11/2026, 7:49:30 PM2 trades$1,0980 min
6/24/2026, 9:54:50 PM2 trades$1,0920 min
6/11/2026, 7:56:43 AM4 trades$1,0870 min
6/13/2026, 6:20:16 AM12 trades$1,0590 min
6/29/2026, 3:05:02 PM11 trades$1,0370 min
6/12/2026, 8:46:34 PM13 trades$1,0292 min
6/13/2026, 9:29:04 PM4 trades$1,0121 min
6/14/2026, 4:27:30 AM2 trades$9900 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-26
02-21
03-18
04-10
06-10
07-01
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 82 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.17/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.2 / M17.8 / H61