@0xcrag

#14,45674

0x0bd876c79100f779d2f9f63dbe514b3fc75aa74a

~195d· 209 markets · 1895 tradesVol: $780,593 @0xCragHack2026-08-05 02:22:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (72/192)3.8/20
1.84x (win $39,273 / loss $21,377)13/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.06415/15
Sortino 7.30810/10
$+0.1583 per $1 invested7.9/10
HHI 271 (192 markets)10/10
48/105 profitable days (46%)3.9/10
Max DD 17% of peak ($3,579 / $21,474)10/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+10,181
Lottery Player
71% entries < $0.20
Whale
$113,039 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 17%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
91% maker orders

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#6,545$7,500Vol: $435,997
🏛️ POLITICS#6,224$5,102Vol: $257,588
💰 FINANCE#645,222$-273Vol: $28,926
💻 TECH#258,376$-1,905Vol: $9,800
⚽ SPORTS#331,326$5Vol: $4,107
📈 ECONOMICS#656,453$-83Vol: $3,566
📢 MENTIONS#154,218$-42Vol: $2,330

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$10,181
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$780,593
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
209
total markets
Trades
1308B / 587S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~195d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$147
Vol: $0
Month
$-163
Vol: $125
All Time
$10,181
Vol: $780,593

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
72W / 120L events
Realized PnL
$10,181
Win Rate
38%
72W / 120L
Profit Factor
1.84x
Avg Win
$545
Avg Loss
$-183

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,145 (1.3893828606004408% of PnL)

Top Winners

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$7,500
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$4,635
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$2,010
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$1,949
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?$1,782
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?$1,644
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1,546
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1,502
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1,375
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$1,033

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,981
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$-1,665
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-1,569
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?$-1,493
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-1,119
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?$-1,020
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$-880
Seeker FDV above $150M one day after launch?$-700
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?$-671
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?$-663

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.160
Sortino
0.321
HHI
340
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.165
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.6%
Top-5 markets
33.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 906s — normal for humanCV 4.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal91% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.81
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)71.3%
Mid (20-55c)12.8%
High (>55c)16%

Sessions

#12
4/15/2026, 10:50:12 PM38 trades$12,1851 min
4/23/2026, 3:02:44 PM2 trades$8,3960 min
3/31/2026, 11:59:11 PM4 trades$3,7030 min
11/28/2025, 8:57:37 PM1 trades$3,6000 min
12/12/2025, 11:29:08 PM7 trades$3,58510 min
6/14/2026, 11:16:12 PM1 trades$3,4230 min
4/30/2026, 9:49:58 AM1 trades$3,3180 min
11/22/2025, 4:05:45 PM1 trades$2,7900 min
12/20/2025, 2:56:20 PM1 trades$2,7720 min
5/29/2026, 5:58:01 PM2 trades$2,6011 min
11/22/2025, 6:58:21 PM1 trades$2,4040 min
12/20/2025, 9:35:08 AM4 trades$2,4002 min
6/14/2026, 10:53:51 PM1 trades$2,1930 min
2/28/2026, 6:12:51 AM4 trades$2,0201 min
5/21/2026, 5:33:19 PM6 trades$2,0000 min
11/28/2025, 9:12:55 PM1 trades$1,9800 min
4/28/2026, 2:45:56 PM2 trades$1,8780 min
12/6/2025, 4:59:43 PM1 trades$1,7340 min
4/28/2026, 1:52:46 AM1 trades$1,7280 min
12/12/2025, 11:47:20 PM2 trades$1,6763 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
12-08
01-12
02-28
03-31
04-28
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 34 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.81/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L71.3 / M12.8 / H16