@ar5knd4l

#1,845,25710

0x0c048038bc83b777d20bbc9bdb0dbd7f3fbf4d02

~36d· 154 markets · 426 tradesVol: $17,7412026-08-04 18:54:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

5% (7/146)0/20
0.06x (win $1 / loss $14)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -14.5770/15
Sortino -11.7950/10
$-0.0015 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 93 (146 markets)10/10
3/31 profitable days (10%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($13 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#1,245,976$-6Vol: $10,938
🏛️ POLITICS#1,088,599$-4Vol: $5,534
💰 FINANCE#425,017$-0Vol: $1,006
📈 ECONOMICS#259,514$0Vol: $156
₿ CRYPTO#717,445$-0Vol: $91
🎭 CULTURE#362,781$-0Vol: $11
💻 TECH#146,632$-0Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-10
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,741
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
154
total markets
Trades
209B / 217S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $6
Week
$-1
Vol: $6
Month
$-1
Vol: $6
All Time
$-10
Vol: $17,741

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
5%
7W / 139L events
Realized PnL
$-10
Win Rate
5%
7W / 139L
Profit Factor
0.06x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (0.07157057654075548% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?$1
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0

Top Losers

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-1
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$-1
Will Virginia be the tipping point state?$-0
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-0
Manchester United wins the Premier League?$-0
GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?$-0
Will Florida be the tipping point state?$-0
Will Maine be the tipping point state?$-0
Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.751
Sortino
-0.791
HHI
94
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
10.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
53.3m
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.34
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.0

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — normal for humanCV 0.34 — uniform order sizes40% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal4% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.92
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0.5%
High (>55c)99.5%

Sessions

#12
9/2/2024, 5:01:06 PM39 trades$1,93717 min
9/3/2024, 1:01:25 AM38 trades$1,88515 min
11/19/2024, 6:51:10 AM40 trades$1,88517 min
11/25/2024, 4:30:32 AM42 trades$1,62320 min
11/25/2024, 4:35:57 PM36 trades$1,52017 min
11/26/2024, 11:54:50 PM29 trades$1,27314 min
11/21/2024, 3:36:43 PM30 trades$1,09913 min
11/30/2024, 3:43:39 AM22 trades$8019 min
11/16/2024, 4:12:19 AM13 trades$6214 min
9/3/2024, 8:23:23 AM10 trades$4864 min
12/1/2024, 3:41:43 AM10 trades$4305 min
12/2/2024, 9:20:34 PM10 trades$4274 min
9/3/2024, 6:05:31 AM8 trades$3913 min
12/3/2024, 5:00:17 AM6 trades$2552 min
12/3/2024, 10:06:15 PM6 trades$2553 min
12/4/2024, 1:58:32 PM6 trades$2543 min
9/3/2024, 2:02:07 PM2 trades$971 min
9/17/2024, 2:00:11 AM2 trades$970 min
9/22/2024, 12:57:15 PM2 trades$971 min
9/28/2024, 6:23:56 PM2 trades$961 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-02
10-04
11-21
12-01
03-17
01-14
01-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0.5 / H99.5