@Fortescue

#473,96985

0x0c10b0ec8ff5468cfe207a010ebb140ff780a1cc

~12d· 16 markets · 58 tradesVol: $15,6282026-08-04 19:46:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (8/11)20/20
4.18x (win $397 / loss $95)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 11.21315/15
Sortino 20.22510/10
$+0.0336 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 1381 (11 markets)5.6/10
7/9 profitable days (78%)10/10
Max DD 31% of peak ($95 / $302)7.7/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 73%
Profitable
PnL $+12
Consistent
7/9 profitable days

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#207,776$6Vol: $13,204
SPORTS#316,444$6Vol: $2,424

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$12
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,628
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
16
total markets
Trades
34B / 24S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
8W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$12
Win Rate
73%
8W / 3L
Profit Factor
4.18x
Avg Win
$50
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $241 (20.129274395329443% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?$81
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?$81
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?$79
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)$62
Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)$33
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?$32
Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)$27
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)$1

Top Losers

Spread: Olympic Dcheira (-1.5)$-56
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?$-39

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.553
Sortino
inf
HHI
488
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.054
Kelly %
18.9%
Half-Kelly
9.4%
Top-1 market
10.8%
Top-5 markets
44.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
34.6m
between trades
Night Trading
55%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
31
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 934s — normal for humanCV 0.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)55% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.73
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.6%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)82.4%

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 5:01:30 AM4 trades$8950 min
4/19/2026, 6:04:08 AM4 trades$8700 min
6/2/2026, 8:32:15 AM2 trades$5200 min
6/4/2026, 2:31:00 AM2 trades$5120 min
6/4/2026, 3:15:09 AM2 trades$4980 min
6/4/2026, 3:06:45 AM1 trades$4850 min
5/31/2026, 5:41:02 AM2 trades$4750 min
7/8/2026, 6:26:31 AM2 trades$4640 min
7/12/2026, 1:46:08 AM2 trades$4600 min
5/31/2026, 6:05:17 AM1 trades$4490 min
7/12/2026, 3:07:19 AM2 trades$4450 min
7/8/2026, 7:00:11 AM1 trades$4380 min
7/12/2026, 2:28:37 AM1 trades$4280 min
7/12/2026, 5:40:22 AM1 trades$4250 min
6/23/2026, 3:03:26 AM2 trades$4160 min
4/28/2026, 8:45:08 AM2 trades$4150 min
6/23/2026, 5:15:16 AM4 trades$4100 min
4/28/2026, 7:48:10 AM2 trades$4050 min
4/28/2026, 8:36:38 AM1 trades$3960 min
6/23/2026, 3:36:52 AM1 trades$3890 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-27
04-19
04-22
04-28
04-30
05-31
06-02
06-04
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.6 / M0 / H82.4