@elkynator

#2,908,92720

0x0c488973670fb0834b264707d3f14a773955c077

~22d· 91 markets · 247 tradesVol: $15,5052026-08-04 21:10:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (41/90)7.8/20
0.46x (win $780 / loss $1,691)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.2720/15
Sortino -6.9340/10
$-0.1850 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 478 (90 markets)10/10
8/20 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 2129% of peak ($1,010 / $47)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#296,774$-761Vol: $5,279
₿ CRYPTO#79,181$132Vol: $4,459
⚽ SPORTS#1,587,836$-49Vol: $3,725
💻 TECH#230,042$-12Vol: $1,231
🏛️ POLITICS#241,338$4Vol: $469
💰 FINANCE#641,310$-188Vol: $242
🎭 CULTURE#47,768$21Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-853
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,505
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
91
total markets
Trades
178B / 69S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
42W / 48L events
Realized PnL
$-853
Win Rate
47%
42W / 48L
Profit Factor
0.46x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-38

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $260 (0.30495581030077124% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on January 11?$116
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$89
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$55
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$51
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on January 10?$43
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$40
Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?$40
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$30
Over $4M committed to the Trove public sale?$29

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on January 11?$-644
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on January 9?$-194
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$-113
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$-77
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-61
Will Mike Maignan win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-52
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score$-41
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$-40
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on January 8?$-40
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-37

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.371
Sortino
-0.330
HHI
429
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.184
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.1%
Top-5 markets
37.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 129s — normal for humanCV 1.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.02
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.9%
Mid (20-55c)34.3%
High (>55c)48.9%

Sessions

#12
1/11/2026, 6:59:52 PM10 trades$1,0092 min
1/11/2026, 6:19:00 PM9 trades$5586 min
12/22/2025, 11:57:43 AM18 trades$5058 min
6/30/2026, 8:14:14 AM12 trades$3500 min
6/12/2026, 8:37:24 AM10 trades$27911 min
1/7/2026, 9:24:01 AM1 trades$2670 min
7/13/2026, 12:39:29 PM11 trades$2347 min
1/28/2026, 12:42:45 PM3 trades$2334 min
1/11/2026, 6:48:40 PM3 trades$1841 min
1/28/2026, 10:50:39 AM1 trades$1570 min
1/28/2026, 12:27:39 PM7 trades$1571 min
1/9/2026, 4:12:26 PM2 trades$1560 min
1/8/2026, 11:33:43 AM10 trades$1516 min
1/28/2026, 8:42:43 AM1 trades$1400 min
1/19/2026, 2:38:04 PM6 trades$13410 min
1/6/2026, 1:44:39 PM2 trades$1302 min
1/28/2026, 1:32:17 PM5 trades$1195 min
1/29/2026, 1:19:54 PM1 trades$1130 min
1/22/2026, 2:26:26 PM1 trades$1110 min
1/7/2026, 9:15:21 PM2 trades$1102 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-22
01-08
01-19
01-22
06-12
07-01
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 203 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
30% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.02/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.9 / M34.3 / H48.9