TheRealPublicAlpha

@TheRealPublicAlpha

#108,89040

0x0cf490ce518a56a957b244ab91a37d6327cb863e

~128d· 1989 markets · 3585 tradesVol: $163,5752026-08-05 02:29:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

86% (1714/1989)20/20
0.50x (win $1,490 / loss $2,978)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8840/15
Sortino -1.9010/10
$-0.0293 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 37 (1989 markets)10/10
85/125 profitable days (68%)9.5/10
Max DD 1350% of peak ($1,693 / $125)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+572
Whale
$50,791 invested
Consistent
85/125 profitable days
Win Streak
74 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,781,046$-362Vol: $40,370
CRYPTO#1,406,583$-57Vol: $30,118
🌤️ WEATHER#158,632$-0Vol: $3
🎭 CULTURE#243,631$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$572
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$163,575
Total Redeem
$3,476
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1989
total markets
Trades
2278B / 1307S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~128d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$24
Vol: $3,266
Month
$77
Vol: $5,263
All Time
$572
Vol: $163,575

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
86%
1714W / 275L events
Realized PnL
$572
Win Rate
86%
1714W / 275L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $184 (0.3221017660430145% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$118
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffs$39
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage$27
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$25
Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha$25
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$21
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5$16
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)$15
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs$14
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$13

Top Losers

Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5$-1,227
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$-361
XRP Up or Down - January 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$-257
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D$-145
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A$-109
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs$-103
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy (BO5) - FERJEE In House Playoffs$-87
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$-86
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$-65
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)$-64

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.098
Sortino
-0.058
HHI
35
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
7.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.7
Active
Markets / Day
7.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.6m
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 692s — normal for humanCV 2.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active7.6 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.8
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.2%
Mid (20-55c)23.1%
High (>55c)74.7%

Sessions

#12
4/25/2026, 12:34:46 AM3 trades$1,2270 min
4/25/2026, 12:28:00 AM5 trades$1,0950 min
4/25/2026, 2:31:22 AM5 trades$9890 min
4/24/2026, 9:22:08 AM9 trades$8320 min
4/24/2026, 10:38:40 AM13 trades$6140 min
4/24/2026, 9:46:32 AM1 trades$5890 min
6/5/2026, 9:37:57 AM8 trades$5166 min
6/6/2026, 12:17:37 PM5 trades$5030 min
6/6/2026, 2:23:45 PM4 trades$4913 min
8/1/2026, 9:31:48 AM2 trades$4870 min
6/6/2026, 3:08:40 PM4 trades$4503 min
1/14/2026, 2:28:06 AM2 trades$4301 min
6/6/2026, 12:31:51 PM5 trades$4241 min
3/26/2026, 1:54:15 AM6 trades$4207 min
6/7/2026, 11:35:07 AM4 trades$3993 min
1/13/2026, 5:14:01 PM2 trades$3961 min
7/15/2026, 6:02:22 PM3 trades$3790 min
3/19/2026, 3:50:21 AM8 trades$34813 min
7/30/2026, 9:07:23 AM2 trades$3470 min
1/13/2026, 11:12:53 AM2 trades$3441 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-15
12-17
01-09
02-08
03-17
04-12
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 145 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.8/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.2 / M23.1 / H74.7