@RogerWaters

#552,26380

0x0d1a0284c40bde3acdc5ec9f456c5cfba8b0e5a5

~24d· 41 markets · 47 tradesVol: $16,3512026-08-04 21:00:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

98% (39/40)20/20
3.46x (win $14 / loss $4)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 10.15615/15
Sortino 21.84810/10
$+0.0012 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 8769 (40 markets)0/10
23/24 profitable days (96%)10/10
Max DD 18% of peak ($2 / $10)10/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 98%
Profitable
PnL $+6
Consistent
23/24 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 18%
Win Streak
30 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,222,059$-8Vol: $15,781
CRYPTO#232,516$10Vol: $446
🎭 CULTURE#220,581$0Vol: $78
🌤️ WEATHER#130,328$0Vol: $16
SPORTS#374,965$3Vol: $15
📈 ECONOMICS#195,825$0Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,351
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
42B / 5S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$6
Vol: $16,351

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
98%
39W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$6
Win Rate
98%
39W / 1L
Profit Factor
3.46x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5 (0.880672268907563% of PnL)

Top Winners

Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?$2
Ethereum above $3,000 on November 22?$2
Knicks vs. Raptors$1
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 December 1-7?$1
Chiefs vs. Panthers$1
Jaguars vs. Lions$1
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1500 on May 9?$0
Ethereum above $4800 on August 18?$0
Ethereum all time high by January 31?$0

Top Losers

Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.520
Sortino
410.833
HHI
2267
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
97.4%
Half-Kelly
48.7%
Top-1 market
47.6%
Top-5 markets
49%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
27
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — normal for humanCV 4.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal2% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
9/20/2024, 2:04:47 PM4 trades$4,0156 min
9/20/2024, 1:52:45 PM1 trades$3,9990 min
8/16/2025, 12:34:02 PM2 trades$3,8790 min
8/16/2025, 1:03:50 PM1 trades$2,8920 min
8/16/2025, 12:53:56 PM1 trades$9640 min
7/12/2025, 7:59:30 PM1 trades$300 min
6/7/2025, 4:51:28 AM1 trades$300 min
5/5/2025, 1:28:21 PM1 trades$290 min
4/8/2025, 3:27:40 PM3 trades$291 min
3/18/2025, 1:45:33 PM3 trades$290 min
2/10/2025, 1:52:30 PM1 trades$290 min
1/21/2025, 5:44:49 AM2 trades$290 min
12/9/2024, 8:41:13 PM3 trades$271 min
11/17/2024, 2:38:25 AM4 trades$231 min
11/13/2024, 11:49:47 AM3 trades$230 min
11/9/2024, 3:17:27 AM1 trades$230 min
10/30/2024, 8:36:40 AM1 trades$220 min
10/16/2024, 11:23:12 AM1 trades$220 min
1/29/2026, 9:40:16 AM1 trades$210 min
12/2/2025, 2:41:50 PM2 trades$210 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-20
11-13
12-09
04-08
08-16
12-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2.5% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100