@tobako

#123,41414

0x0dff826adde262ae744ebd3f1798ddb6024bbb1e

~27d· 529 markets · 1232 tradesVol: $39,7912026-08-04 18:54:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (135/503)0/20
0.92x (win $1,781 / loss $1,935)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6110/15
Sortino -1.9940/10
$-0.0726 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 51 (503 markets)10/10
10/26 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 238% of peak ($368 / $155)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+353
Lottery Player
54% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
SPORTS#54,186$548Vol: $30,799
🌤️ WEATHER#285,328$-102Vol: $5,229
CRYPTO#274,093$6Vol: $65

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$434
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$39,791
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
529
total markets
Trades
821B / 411S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

Periods

#2
Today
$-134
Vol: $3,051
Week
$117
Vol: $7,070
Month
$211
Vol: $8,862
All Time
$434
Vol: $39,791

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
135W / 368L events
Realized PnL
$353
Win Rate
27%
135W / 368L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $240 (0.6791571076557057% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Atlético Nacional (-2.5)$133
Lyngby BK leading at halftime?$54
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 1?$53
Dundee United FC leading at halftime?$52
Wisla Plock leading at halftime?$46
Will SK Austria Klagenfurt win on 2026-07-24?$44
Spread: Comunicaciones FC (-1.5)$41
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage$41
Will Cerezo Osaka win on 2026-07-29?$40
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Swiss Stage$40

Top Losers

FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs. FK Karpaty Lviv: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-87
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)$-40
Spread: RC Deportivo De La Coruna (-1.5)$-27
MFK Dukla Banská Bystrica leading at halftime?$-27
FF Jaro vs. Seinajoen JK: O/U 2.5$-25
CD Riestra leading at halftime?$-25
Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: Mirassol FC O/U 2.5$-24
Spread: Heidelberg United FC (-1.5)$-23
Tobol Kostanay leading at halftime?$-22
CA Newell's Old Boys leading at halftime?$-21

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.083
Sortino
-0.093
HHI
34
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.082
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
7.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
43.9m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 580s — normal for humanCV 1.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal4.0 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.34
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)54.4%
Mid (20-55c)35.8%
High (>55c)9.7%

Sessions

#12
7/31/2026, 8:54:56 PM2 trades$1130 min
7/30/2026, 10:12:38 PM2 trades$1040 min
8/3/2026, 7:49:24 AM2 trades$1030 min
7/31/2026, 4:41:56 PM2 trades$880 min
8/2/2026, 8:39:33 PM2 trades$800 min
7/31/2026, 6:17:20 PM4 trades$804 min
8/1/2026, 9:19:26 PM2 trades$770 min
7/24/2026, 10:24:36 PM14 trades$7713 min
8/1/2026, 5:44:11 PM2 trades$750 min
7/30/2026, 10:54:05 AM2 trades$730 min
7/30/2026, 5:06:23 AM4 trades$700 min
7/31/2026, 8:14:09 PM5 trades$671 min
7/31/2026, 9:15:48 PM4 trades$662 min
7/23/2026, 5:22:42 AM6 trades$652 min
7/31/2026, 10:12:44 AM2 trades$640 min
7/23/2026, 7:48:55 PM6 trades$624 min
7/23/2026, 8:58:36 PM6 trades$572 min
7/31/2026, 12:41:09 PM2 trades$540 min
7/20/2026, 10:31:37 AM4 trades$520 min
7/29/2026, 10:41:53 PM2 trades$520 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
03-31
04-04
07-20
07-24
07-28
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.34/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54.4 / M35.8 / H9.7