@thisisnthappening

#3,056,99162

0x100a75497f8f21585b6dc3395845d41fef330919

~67d· 217 markets · 4352 tradesVol: $881,2342026-08-04 21:04:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (99/183)12/20
1.22x (win $94,326 / loss $77,045)5.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.19315/15
Sortino 3.44410/10
$+0.0527 per $1 invested2.6/10
HHI 197 (183 markets)10/10
31/55 profitable days (56%)6.6/10
Max DD 79% of peak ($16,586 / $21,039)0/10

Badges

5
DCA Master
Avg 29.5 entries/market
Whale
$327,650 invested
High Roller
$1,412/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,634,305$-5,056Vol: $378,099
⚽ SPORTS#1,796,517$-509Vol: $147,285
₿ CRYPTO#29,166$1,076Vol: $113,528
💰 FINANCE#656,653$-2,396Vol: $93,821
📈 ECONOMICS#678,578$-928Vol: $88,976
🌤️ WEATHER#293,861$-340Vol: $8,958
🎭 CULTURE#805,107$-473Vol: $6,918
💻 TECH#254,945$-335Vol: $3,603

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-9,204
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$881,234
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
217
total markets
Trades
2585B / 1767S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~67d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-9,204
Vol: $881,234

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
99W / 83L events
Realized PnL
$-9,204
Win Rate
54%
99W / 83L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$953
Avg Loss
$-928

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,417 (1.6750529393422158% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$7,485
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$4,117
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3,816
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,778
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$3,453
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$3,250
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$3,205
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$3,008
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?$2,966
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$2,590

Top Losers

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-7,233
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-4,519
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-4,393
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-3,955
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?$-3,859
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-2,832
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$-2,796
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,728
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?$-2,171
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$-2,153

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.114
Sortino
0.161
HHI
322
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.043
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.2%
Top-5 markets
30.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
36.4m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.4

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 1.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active0.9 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
29.55
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.6%
Mid (20-55c)17.8%
High (>55c)79.6%

Sessions

#12
12/21/2025, 6:41:50 PM1 trades$7,5320 min
6/11/2026, 5:24:07 PM26 trades$4,5589 min
6/10/2026, 10:42:34 PM34 trades$4,2417 min
6/24/2026, 11:46:56 AM35 trades$4,1783 min
12/20/2025, 11:03:49 PM1 trades$3,8400 min
5/28/2026, 2:13:46 PM22 trades$3,7564 min
6/25/2026, 11:44:52 AM28 trades$3,5582 min
7/8/2026, 4:10:50 PM16 trades$3,37311 min
12/9/2025, 2:05:56 PM1 trades$3,0760 min
6/12/2026, 4:48:37 AM9 trades$2,9582 min
12/16/2025, 12:27:57 AM2 trades$2,8880 min
6/17/2026, 8:33:53 PM3 trades$2,8350 min
6/11/2026, 5:15:37 PM3 trades$2,6311 min
6/11/2026, 4:14:13 PM3 trades$2,5941 min
6/17/2026, 4:30:05 PM7 trades$2,5371 min
6/8/2026, 2:06:51 AM8 trades$2,5103 min
6/10/2026, 11:33:06 PM3 trades$2,4521 min
6/12/2026, 5:30:10 AM3 trades$2,3990 min
6/11/2026, 11:19:49 PM7 trades$2,3721 min
6/23/2026, 1:19:01 AM15 trades$2,3611 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-09
05-25
06-06
06-15
06-24
07-09
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.55/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.6 / M17.8 / H79.6